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SAS for Forecasting Time Series, Second Edition
2008-04-01 12:52:00
John C., Ph.D. Brocklebank, David A. Dickey July, 2003ISBN: 1590471822SAS PublishingThis second edition of a 1986 publication contains additions that update this book with advances in time series forecasting. New topics include the Augmented Dickey-Fuller test, the model identification methods ESACF, SCAN and MINIC, unequal variances in time series models, and cointegration. The revisions and reorganization to chapter seven, Spectral Analysis, improve readability and comprehension. The addition of the final chapter, 'Data Mining and Forecasting ', provides an introduction to the menu driven Time Series Forecasting System. SAS users who model and forecast time series data should add this book to their collection, including owners of the first edition. --Barry A. Evans, Ph.D., Manager, Forecasting GlaxoSmithKlinePrefaceA time series is a set of ordered observations on a quantitative characteristic of a phenomenon at equally spaced time points. The goal of univariate time series analy...
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How to Get a PhD - 4th edition
2008-04-01 12:27:00
Open University Press (2005-06-01) ISBN 0335216846 240 Pages PDF 1 MbThis is a handbook for Ph.D. students, providing a practical, realistic understanding of the processes of doing research for a doctorate. New to this edition: a section on increasingly popular professional doctorates such as Ed.D., D.B.A., and D.Eng; material for supervisors of overseas, part-time, and mature students; and a diagnostic questionnaire for students to monitor progress. Buy this book from Amazon:How to Get a PhD - 4th edition (Study Skills)Thanks to original uploader:rapidshare
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Check Your English Vocabulary for TOEFL (Check Your Vocabulary)
2008-04-01 12:20:00
Publisher: A & C Black Publishers Ltd 2007-07-31ISBN: 0713684143128 pages 12.6 MBMore than 60 activities, including word games, puzzles, and quizzes, make this workbook ideal for improving and building English vocabulary. Written for students who are preparing for the TOEFL paper and computer tests, this guide is ideal for self-study or can be incorporated into an existing TOEFL instruction syllabus. Contents are organized by topic area and vocabulary use. TOEFL-type test questions for teaching vocabulary are included, along with teacher notes and a chart for using the worksheets for solo and classroom exercises.Buy this book from Amazon:Check Your English Vocabulary for TOEFL (Check Your Vocabulary)Thanks to original uploader:rapidshare

New English File (English File Elementary)
2008-04-01 12:16:00
Oxford University Press 2004-04-15 ISBN: 0194384268 238 pages Djvu 6 MbThe Elementary coursebook that gets students talking, and that helps teachers and students more than any other. Buy this book from Amazon:New English File (English File Elementary)Thanks to original uploader:rapidshare

The Secret Language of Business: How to Read Anyone in 3 Seconds or Less
2008-04-01 12:03:00
Wiley 2008-01-28 ISBN: 0470222891PDF 256 pages 1,2 MbThe Secret Language of Business reveals the secrets of body language and nonverbal communication. Successful professionals need more than just good communication skills, you also need the ability to interpret the nonverbal signals that everyone displays. You?ll learn how to master and manipulate your own body language, read the body language of others, and influence people through your new skills and perception. No matter what business you?re in, this is a valuable guide to achieving more in life and business. Buy this book from Amazon:The Secret Language of Business: How to Read Anyone in 3 Seconds or LessThanks to original uploader:easy-share

The Wall Street Waltz: 90 Visual Perspectives, Illustrated Lessons From Fin
2008-04-01 11:56:00
Wiley 2007-11-12 ISBN: 0470139501 PDF 240 pages 8,7 MbAn engaging and informative source of financial market historyThis new, updated edition offers revealing and provocative snapshots of modern financial markets that reveal how stocks relate to sales, earnings, dividends, cash flows, and assets; while others include turn-of-the-century originals, and new charts of even older events. In each case, Fisher provides what he calls a visualization in which he analyzes each chart according to its origin, historical significance, and most importantly, its relevance to today's market. A combination of illustrative charts and informative explanations, The Wall Street Waltz paints a compelling portrait of financial history that paves the way for future profits. Buy this book from Amazon:The Wall Street Waltz: 90 Visual Perspectives, Illustrated Lessons From Financial Cycles and Trends (The Fisher Investment Series)Thanks to original uploader:rapidshare

Leading Quietly 1 edition
2008-04-01 11:52:00
Harvard Business School Press; 1 edition February 11, 2002ISBN: 1578514878 224 pages PDF 2 MbWhen we think of great leaders, it's usually the charismatic, globally influential Churchill, Patton, Jack Welch who spring to mind. But as Harvard Business School professor Badaracco (Defining Moments: When Managers Must Choose Between Right and Right) correctly points out, everyday leadership is not so dramatic, and daily leadership decisions are rarely carried out at the top of an organization. Badaracco focuses here is on helping the middle- and senior-level managers who make the ordinary decisions that ultimately determine an organization's success. As he puts it: "What usually matters are careful, thoughtful, small, practical efforts by people working far from the limelight. In short, quiet leadership is what moves and changes the world." Out of a four-year study of these real-life leaders, Badaracco describes eight strategies for making effective leadership decisions in murky situat...
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10 Technologies Every Executive Should Know
2008-04-01 11:42:00
10 Technologies Every Executive Should KnowAspatore Books 2004ISBN:1587620480 PDF 1,10 Mb 140 Pages It seems that with every passing day in this ever-changing business climate, technology continues to evolve as an intrinsic part of all we do. From the Internet to wireless networks, from data warehousing to security, it is imperative that today?s executive go beyond the buzzwords and really understand how critical technologies drive business and how return on technology investment can be maximized. Let this book serve as your technology ambassador, with clear descriptions and lucid explanations of the core concepts behind, and the potential global impact of, 10 key technologies. Topics addressed include Web Services, Security, Wireless, and Customer Relationship Management (CRM). Complete with a glossary, this book is both understandable and insightful, with descriptions in plain English and explanations further enhanced by diagrams. --This text refers to the Paperback edition. Buy t...

Mathematical Puzzles: A Connoisseur's Collection
2008-04-01 11:32:00
Author: Peter WinklerPublisher: AK Peters, Ltd.File size: 10,52 MBFile type: pdfCreative reasoning is the key to these puzzles. No involved computation or higher mathematics is necessary, but your ability to construct a mathematical proof will be severly tested--even if you are a professional mathematician."This is certainly the best collection of challenging mathematical puzzles that has appeared in the last decade." Ronald Graham, President, Mathematical Association of America Buy this book from Amazon:Mathematical Puzzles : A Connoisseur's CollectionThanks to original uploader:rapidshare
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Computational Intelligence in Time Series Forecasting: Theory and Engineeri
2008-04-01 11:13:00
Foresight can be crucial in process and production control, production-and-resources planning and in management decision making generally. Although forecasting the future from accumulated historical data has become a standard and reliable method in production and financial engineering, as well as in business and management, the use of time series analysis in the on-line milieu of most industrial plants has been more problematic because of the time and computational effort required.The advent of intelligent computational technologies such as the neural network and the genetic algorithm promotes the efficient solution of on-line forecasting problems. Their most outstanding successes include:prediction of nonlinear time series and the nonlinear combination of forecasts using neural networks;prediction of chaotic time series and of output data for second-order nonlinear plant using fuzzy logic.The power of intelligent technologies applied individually and in combination, has created adv...
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Forecasting Financial Markets: The Psychology of Successful Investing
2008-04-01 11:06:00
Publisher: Kogan Page; 5th ed. edition (September 1, 2006)ISBN-10: 0749447494415 pages | PDF | 7,7 Mb Provides the reader with an in-depth assessment of the phenomenon of cycles and patterns of economic and financial activity in order to make money in the world's financial markets. Guides investors in understanding the forces at work in logical terms, and in designing an investment process that generates objective 'buy' or 'sell' signals. Buy this book from Amazon:Forecasting Financial Markets : The Psychology of Successful Investing Thanks to original uploader:rapidshare

Financial Markets in Continuous Time (Springer Finance)
2008-04-01 11:00:00
In modern financial practice, asset prices are modelled by means of stochastic processes, and continuous-time stochastic calculus thus plays a central role in financial modelling. This approach has its roots in the foundational work of the Nobel laureates Black, Scholes and Merton. Asset prices are further assumed to be rationalizable, that is, determined by equality of demand and supply on some market. This approach has its roots in the foundational work on General Equilibrium of the Nobel laureates Arrow and Debreu and in the work of McKenzie. This book has four parts. The first brings together a number of results from discrete-time models. The second develops stochastic continuous-time models for the valuation of financial assets (the Black-Scholes formula and its extensions), for optimal portfolio and consumption choice, and for obtaining the yield curve and pricing interest rate products. The third part recalls some concepts and results of general equilibrium theory, and applie...
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A Practical Guide to Forecasting Financial Market Volatility (The Wiley Fin
2008-04-01 10:45:00
A Practical Guide to Forecasting Financial Market VolatilityWiley ; 1 edition (June 17, 2005) ISBN: 0470856130 236 pages PDF 1,1 MbFinancial market volatility forecasting is one of today's most important areas of expertise for professionals and academics in investment, option pricing, and financial market regulation. While many books address financial market modelling, no single book is devoted primarily to the exploration of volatility forecasting and the practical use of forecasting models. A Practical Guide to Forecasting Financial Market Volatility provides practical guidance on this vital topic through an in-depth examination of a range of popular forecasting models. Details are provided on proven techniques for building volatility models, with guide-lines for actually using them in forecasting applications."Professor Poon exposes in her book current state-of-the-art volatility forecasting methods. Beginning with a description of various conditional volatility models, be it dis...

Forecasting Volatility in the Financial Markets, Third Edition (Quantitativ
2008-04-01 10:30:00
Butterworth-Heinemann; 3 edition (March 23, 2007) ISBN: 075066942X 432 pages PDF 3,1 MbThis new edition of Forecasting Volatility in the Financial Markets assumes that the reader has a firm grounding in the key principles and methods of understanding volatility measurement and builds on that knowledge to detail cutting-edge modelling and forecasting techniques. It provides a survey of ways to measure risk and define the different models of volatility and return. Editors John Knight and Stephen Satchell have brought together an impressive array of contributors who present research from their area of specialization related to volatility forecasting. Readers with an understanding of volatility measures and risk management strategies will benefit from this collection of up-to-date chapters on the latest techniques in forecasting volatility.Chapters new to this third edition:* What good is a volatility model? Engle and Patton* Applications for portfolio variety Dan diBartolomeo* A compar...
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The Econometrics of Macroeconomic Modelling (Advanced Texts in Econometrics
2008-04-01 10:18:00
Oxford University Press, USA (May 27, 2005) ISBN: 0199246505 360 pages PDF 1,7 MbMacroeconometric models, in many ways the flagships of the economist's profession in the 1960s, came under increasing attack from both theoretical economist and practitioners in the late 1970s. Critics referred to their lack of microeconomic theoretical foundations, ad hoc models of expectations, lack of identification, neglect of dynamics and non-stationarity, and poor forecasting properties. By the start of the 1990s, the status of macroeconometric models had declined markedly, and had fallen completely out of, and with, academic economics. Nevertheless, unlike the dinosaurs to which they often have been likened, macroeconometric models have never completely disappeared from the scene. This book describes how and why the discipline of macroeconometric modelling continues to play a role for economic policymaking by adapting to changing demands, in response, for instance, to new policy regimes like inf...
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Hiring and Keeping the Best People
2008-04-01 09:40:00
Hiring and Keeping the Best People Harvard Business School Press January 2, 2003ISBN: 157851875X 208 pages PDF 0.9 MbOffers managers a clear understanding of how to hire more effectively and increase retention. Packed with hands-on tips and tools, this helpful guide provides actionable and practical advice for managers and human resource professionals alike. Softcover.In today's ever changing business environment, hiring an all-star workforce and keeping it in place is a challenge for any organization. With an overview on topics such as recruiting the right people, cultivating the right culture, avoiding employee burnout, and calculating employee turnover, this book offers managers a clear understanding of how to hire more effectively and increase retention. Packed with hands-on tips and tools, this helpful guide provides actionable and practical advice for managers and human resource professionals alike. Buy this book from Amazon:Hiring and Keeping the Best PeopleThanks to original...
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CD-Rom Tutorials : Operation Management Strategy and Analysis
2008-04-01 09:32:00
CD-Rom Tutorials : Operation Management Strategy and Analysis Author: P.Ritzman | CD-Rom | Windows | 478 mb | RAR Thanks to original uploader:http://rapidshare.com/files/8695 1907/OPT_MGT.part1.rarhttp://rapidshare.c om/files/87139846/OPT_MGT.part2.rarhttp:/ /rapidshare.com/files/87035614/OPT_MGT.pa rt3.rarhttp://rapidshare.com/files/870729 62/OPT_MGT.part4.rarhttp://rapidshare.com /files/87157304/OPT_MGT.part5.rar
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Awakening the Entrepreneur Within: How Ordinary People Can Create Extraordi
2008-03-28 11:23:00
Collins 2008-03-01 ISBN 0061568147 304 Pages | PDF | 1.7 MbA business without a dream is like a life without a purpose.”?Michael GerberDream • Vision • Purpose • MissionThese words have been defining the life of Michael Gerber, bestselling author and international small business guru. He created E-Myth Worldwide in 1977 to transform the way that small business owners grow their companies. Now he's created In The Dreaming Room as a place where entrepreneurs and future entrepreneurs come to discover how to make their dreams a reality.Michael's Dream: to inspire people to dream by awakening the entrepreneur within them.Michael's Vision: to be the authority for helping dreamers everywhere create the small businesses they once could only imagine.Michael's Purpose: to transform the lives of ordinary people by providing them with the thrill of creation while creating the means to generate their own and others' economic freedom.Michael's Mission: to create a turnkey system for awakeni...
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Building Skills for the TOEFL iBT, Beginning Reading
2008-03-28 11:08:00
Perfect Paperback: 178 pagesPublisher: Compass Publishing (July 1, 2006)ISBN-10: 1599660008PDF ScanBuilding Skills for the TOEFL® iBT is the first step in a graded test preparation course designed to hone the test-taking skills required of students who will take the TOEFL® iBT administered by ETS. In addition to familiarizing students with innovative question types found on the TOEFL® iBT, this course provides tips and strategies for each of the four skill-based test sections: reading, listening, speaking, and writing.Key Features of Reading :- Focused practice of each question type- Controlled note-taking activities- Annotated reading passages to support vocabulary acquisition- Graded practice to support comfortable development of test skills- Authentic test practice modeled on the TOEFL® iBT format- Full answer key including sample responses for summaries and note-taking Buy this book from Amazon:Building Skills for the TOEFL iBT, Beginning ReadingThanks to original uploader:Chapte...

Focusing on Truth
2008-03-28 10:57:00
Routledge 1992-09-16 ISBN:0415072522 279 pages PDF 1,1 MbFocusing on Truth explores the question of what truth is, balancing historical with issue-orientated discussion. The book offers a comprehensive survey of all the major theories of truth. Lawrence Johnson investigates a number of closely related matters of truth in his inquiry, such as: What sorts of things are true or false? What is attributed to them when they are said to be true or false? What do facts have to do with truth? What can we learn from previous theories?The book opens with an analysis of the coherence theory of truth and then the correspondence theory of truth, as developed by Moore, Russell and Wittgenstein. Through a study of the semantic conceptions of truth, the author reveals that an adequate theory of truth must take account of the pragmatics of person, purpose, and circumstance. A full understanding of facts and truth bearers is considered central to Johnson's criticism of the opposing truth theories of ...
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Cracking the TOEFL iBT with Audio CD, 2008 Edition (College Test Prep)
2008-03-28 10:52:00
Princeton Review; Pap/Com edition (August 21, 2007) ISBN:0375766227 508 pages PDF 60,3 MbThe TOEFL has undergone major changes in recent years. It is now completely computer-based; it's longer; and it has mandatory Speaking, Listening, and Writing sections. Cracking the TOEFL iBT provides the most comprehensive information available about how to succeed on the exam, complete with an audio CD and full transcript, full-length practice test, and scores of drill questions.In Cracking the TOEFL iBT, The Princeton Review will teach you how to:·Use our preparation strategies and test-taking techniques to raise your score·Focus your reading and listening to identify the key parts of passages, lectures, and conversations·Improve your command of spoken English and your use of good English grammar and vocabulary·Write top-scoring essays by responding to the specific question asked and organizing your ideas clearly·Test your knowledge with review questions and practice drills for each topic co...
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Knowledge and Reference in Empirical Science (International Library of Phil
2008-03-28 10:45:00
Routledge 2000-08-04 ISBN:0415223830 288 pages PDF 1,4 MbSTRONG 'This work is like a breath of fresh air. It is a very original, cogently argued study of the differences between what we do and what we say, as that difference bears on crucial isues in the philosophy of science, mathematics, language, as well as epistemology and metaphysics. The unity of view that is achieved across these philosophical areas is truly impressive.' /STRONG - EM Arnold Koslow, CUNY /EMBook DescriptionKnowledge and Reference in Empirical Science is a fascinating study of the bounds between science and language: In what sense does science provide knowledge? Is it to be taken literally? Is science an instrument only distantly related to what's real? Does the language of science adequately describe the truth? Jody Azzouni approaches these questions through an analysis of the "reference" of kind terms. He investigates the technology of science--the actual forging and exploiting of causal links--and shows h...
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Theory of Language Syntax: Categorial Approach (Nijhoff International Philo
2008-03-28 10:40:00
Hardcover: 288 pages PDF | 6,2 MBPublisher: Springer; 1 edition (March 31, 1991)ISBN-10: 0792311426Human language is based on syntax, a complex set of rules about how words can be combined. In theory, the emergence of syntactic communication might have been a comparatively straightforward process.Let us imagine the situation of a user of an ethnic language who wants to write a letter or the situation of a mathematician who wants to formulate theorems or to produce proofs in a formalized language. Buy this book from Amazon:Theory of Language Syntax : Categorial Approach (Nijhoff International Philosophy Series)Thanks to original uploader:easy-share

Big Bang: The Origin of the Universe
2008-03-28 10:33:00
Fourth Estate 2005-01-01 ISBN: 0007162200 544 pages Html 3,5 MbWe've all heard of the Big Bang , and yet few of us truly know what it is.Renowned for making difficult ideas much less difficult than they might first appear, Simon Singh is our perfect guide to explaining why cosmologists believe that the Big Bang is an accurate description of the origin and evolution of the universe.This highly readable and entertaining book tells the story of the many brilliant, often eccentric scientists who fought against the establishment idea of an eternal and unchanging cosmos. From such early Greek cosmologists as Anaximander to recent satellite measurements taken deep in space, Big Bang is a narrative full of anecdotes and personal histories. With characteristic clarity, Simon Singh tells the centuries-long story of mankind's attempt to understand how the universe came to be, a story which itself begins some 14 billion years ago (give or take a billion years). Simon Singh shows us that it is ...
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Collins COBUILD 5th edition for BABYLON
2008-03-28 10:22:00
Author: HarperCollins Publisher: HarperCollins COBUILDFile size: 5.642.341 bytesFile type: BGL (glossary) file in a RAR archiveCollins COBUILD 5th Edition (2006) for Babylon .Widely regarded as one of the best dictionaries for English as a Second Language (ESL) learners, with unique whole-sentence definitions and examples. Thanks to original uploader:rapidshare
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Leading Change Training (ASTD Trainer's Workshop) (ASTD Trainer's Workshop)
2008-03-28 10:16:00
ASTD Press; Pap/Cdr edition (April 1, 2003) ISBN: 1562863193 214 pages CHM 13,6 MbWow! This book is like having your own personal OD consultant! It offers not only the 'how' of a program on leading change, but also an insightful and helpful look at the why, when, and where. This book can save your company hours of design and development time...plus build your own skills as a change agent. --Lin Standke, Instructional Design Manager, Center for Professional Development, CUNA & AffiliatesReviewThis book is filled not only with principles and concepts, but also with specific suggestions for implementation. I suggest that both HRD professionals and line managers read the book and work together when implementing change. They should consider a statement years ago by the late Dr. George Odiorne, 'The best option for change is one created by people who must implement it, or for one for which the implementers can claim ownership.' --Donald L. Kirkpatrick, Professor Emeritus, University o...
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English Verbs and Tenses (Test It, Fix It)
2008-03-26 12:24:00
Oxford University Press (2003-01) ISBN 0194380742 88 Pages PDF 4.9 MbA series of books which show learners what they get wrong and how to put it right. Learners test their English , check their answers, then test themselves again. Feedback on every answer means students really learn from their mistakes. How can it be used?For self-studyIn the classroomKey featuresA test, answers with helpful tips, and a second test on the same topic in each four-page unit.Twenty topics in each book.Twenty 'Review' pages, leaving a mini reference book once all the tests have been completed.Written for self-study and also suitable for use in the classroom.Buy this book from Amazon:English Verbs and Tenses (Test It, Fix It)Thanks to original uploader:rapidshare
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English Grammar 50:50 - Part 1
2008-03-26 11:55:00
Marta Kowalik-Alherwy & Maciej Klildzior "English Grammar 50:50 - Part 1"WIR ISBN 8391968979 57 Pages PDF 8 MbIt contains a wide variety of supplementary exercises for intermediate and advanced english learners.Contents:PRESENT SIMPLE - PRESENT CONTINUOUSPRESENT PERFECT SIMPLE - PRESENT PERFECT CONTINUOUSPRESENT SIMPLE - PRESENT CONTINUOUS - PRESENT PERFECTPRESENT PERFECT - SIMPLE PASTPAST SIMPLE - PAST CONTINUOUSPAST SIMPLE - PAST PERFECTPAST PERFECT SIMPLE - PAST PERFECT CONTINUOUSPAST SIMPLE - PAST CONTINUOUS - PAST PERFECTFUTURE FORMS: FUTURE SIMPLE; BE GOING TO; PRESENT CONTINUOUSFUTURE PERFECT - FUTURE CONTINUOUSPASSIVE VOICE I (PRESENT SIMPLE. PAST SiMPLE)PASSIVE VOICE II (PRESENT CONTINUOUS. PAST CONTINUOUS)PASSIVE VOICE III (PRESENT PERFECT. FUTURE SIMPLE. MODAL VERBS)PASSIVE VOICE IVCAUSATIVE FORMS (HAVE/GET STH DONE; MAKE SB DO STH; GET SB TO DO)ANSWER KEY Thanks to original uploader:rapidshare
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Common Mistakes in English
2008-03-26 11:48:00
T.J. Fitikides, "Common Mistakes in English "Publisher: Longman 2000-03-22ISBN:0582344581 Pages: 208 PDF Scanned 2.93 MBOf course, no single book can claim to have completely dealt with all the common mistakes English learners and speakers make, but this one did a good job in that light. It is effective in tackling grammatical errors: whether subject-verb agreement or complex tense use. It also prescribes when to use active or passive report.Students can use this book as a self-study companion. It provided rich and varied approach to grammatical applications. Generous focus was given to all the parts-of-speech, as well as to a variety of phrasal verbs. In a nutshell, this is a useful book for both learners and advanced native speakers. Its low price and emphases on contemporary vocabulary would be welcomed by all. Call it an affordable asset! Buy this book from Amazon:Common Mistakes in EnglishThanks to original uploader:rapidshare
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English Grammar in Use (3rd Edition) With Answers and CD-ROM
2008-03-26 11:37:00
Author(s): Louise Hashemi & Raymond MurphyPublisher: Cambridge UniversityPages : 144Format : PDFTo the studentEnglish Grammar in Use Supplementary Exercises is for intermediate and advanced students who want extra practice in grammar, without help from a teacher.There are 200 exercises in this new edition. Each exercise relates to a unit or units in English Grammar in Use new edition 2004, with the unit number(s) at the top of the page. All the answers are given in the Key (pages 121-136). Some exercises ask you to use your own ideas. For these, you can check the Example answers in the Key. You can use this book if you don't have English Grammar in Use, but for an explanation of the grammar points, you need to check in English Grammar in Use.The grammar points covered in the book are not in order of difficulty, so you can go straight to the parts where you need the most practice. Where there are several exercises on one grammar point, however, the easier ones come first. It'...
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