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The 5 Min. Forecast

The 5 Min. Forecast
A daily blog designed to cut through the incredible glut of news by providing you with a quick and dirty round up of the most essential ideas and not-so-common knowledge.
Articles: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7

Articles

Real Signs of Recession: Household Wealth Declines, Foreclosures Surge, Une
2008-06-06 18:37:00
by Addison Wiggin & Ian Mathias Never mind GDP, latest household wealth data shows real U.S. recession Forecloses surge to record highs? fine print and industry insiders say worst may be yet to come Another terrible jobs report? worst unemployment spike in more than 20 years Oil has biggest trading day in history? what news pushed ...
More About: Wealth , Foreclosures , Household , Today , Signs
Bond Insurers in Danger, OECD Lowers Growth Forecast, What Funds are Buying
2008-06-05 21:47:00
by Addison Wiggin & Ian Mathias Bond insurer crisis back in full swing… after months of dithering, Moody’s ready to pull the plug National accounting standard radically altered… how a new rule could plague financials Bernanke talks up the dollar: Day 2, the Harvard edition Hedge funds buy the farm, literally… the new destination for hot hands Chris Mayer on investing in Africa   The bond insurer crisis… it’s back baby, big-time. Moody’s all but promised to lower its ratings of MBIA and Ambac yesterday. The two bond insures have dodged the spotlight lately as commodity and energy prices have skyrocketed. But no more… MBIA and Ambac once again threaten to devastate the finance industry. “Regulatory pressure helped push Moody’s to finally admit that the emperor has no clothes,” says Dan Amoss. “Moody’s will almost certainly follow up with a downgrade, which would force MBIA into runoff mode. Since late February, when Moody’s affir...
More About: Buying , Growth , Danger , Funds
Bernanke?s Worried, Death of the SUV, Small Cap Comeback, Closer to the ?Si
2008-06-04 20:26:00
by Addison Wiggin & Ian Mathias Bernanke concerned over ?unwelcome? change? who?s really to blame, and how it moved markets How GM may have just signaled the death of the SUV Small caps are creeping back to life? Gunner on why the time to invest is now George Soros on the ...
More About: Today , Death , Minutes , Closer
Financials Back in the Spotlight, How to Buy Gold, Yuan Outlook, and More!
2008-06-03 22:40:00
by Addison Wiggin & Ian Mathias Financials back in the spotlight? markets of the world retreat S&P?s shot across the bow? outlook on financial sector ?now predominantly negative? Kevin Kerr on the best way to buy gold Famous trader dragged to Capitol Hill, but hard numbers show traders not to blame ...
More About: Gold , Outlook , Today , Back , Spotlight
Another Bank Failure? More to Come, U.K. Lender Slams Markets, Oil and Gold
2008-06-02 19:55:00
by Addison Wiggin & Ian Mathias FDIC kicks into action with fourth bank failure of 2008… why this could be just the beginning Meanwhile, banks cash up to cover future losses — only to fall further behind How one U.K. earnings report this morning has the world on edge  Oil pulls ...
More About: Gold , Markets , Today , Failure , Bank
Consumer Sentiment Plummets, OPEC Loses Member, Fed Prints Billions, Grease
2008-05-30 20:43:00
by Addison Wiggin & Ian Mathias Consumer sentiment hits 28-year low Oil pulls back? the rationale behind yesterday?s $7 sell-off OPEC drops only Southeast Asian member? the winners and losers of the cartel?s shift Dollar rebounds? Fed celebrates, plans to print $225 billion more Mind your trash cans? ...
More About: Today , Minutes , Grease , Sentiment
More Pain to Come for Financials, Fed Hints at Rate Hike, Gas Prices at Ano
2008-05-29 20:40:00
by Addison Wiggin & Ian Mathias Bear Stearns officially dead? how the same warning signal that presaged its demise is flashing again Dan Amoss on one financial teetering on the brink of collapse Fed gov. says rate hikes coming ?sooner, rather than later? Gas at another all-time high? French protesters take ...
More About: Today , Pain , Gas Prices , Hints , Minutes
Gas Prices Even Higher, Oil Retreats, Vietnam In Trouble, The Cost of U.S.
2008-05-28 21:13:00
by Addison Wiggin & Ian Mathias Gas prices at another record? U.K. truckers shut down highways, threaten to barricade refineries Oil retreats? George Soros and Byron King on crude?s next move Chris Mayer on the skyrocketing costs of power generation? power plant construction costs double Vietnam in a nasty bear market? ...
More About: Today , Cost , Gas Prices , Minutes
Americans Stop Driving, Housing Crisis Worsens, Institutions to Blame for $
2008-05-27 22:17:00
by Addison Wiggin & Ian Mathias Americans fed up with $4 gas? steepest driving decline in recorded history Housing crisis accelerates? two data points paint gloomy picture for U.S. homeowners Consumer confidence hits 16-year low? Alan Greenspan says recession still more likely than not Byron King on why OPEC will soon ...
More About: Driving , Today , Stop
Dollars Backed by Mortgages, Fed Gives Away Billions, Why OPEC Isn?t Happy,
2008-05-23 20:23:00
by Addison Wiggin & Ian Mathias Fed exchanges billions more CDOs for IOUs? how the U.S. dollar is now 20% mortgage-backed securities Home prices showing no signs of a bottom? which famous investor just tripled his stake in the U.S. housing market Gold holds firm despite market chaos? Ed Bugos on ...
More About: Today , Happy , Mortgages , Dollars , Minutes
$135 Oil, Airlines Jack-Up Prices, Fed Speak Translated, The Booming Art Ma
2008-05-22 19:30:00
by Addison Wiggin & Ian Mathias Oil hits record high again… Byron King on the critical shift in the energy trading paradigm Senators berate oil execs… the rotten fruits of the latest congressional hearing “Silent spring” coming to fruition…. American Air cuts flights, hikes consumer prices The 5 translates latest Fed-speak… how Bernanke caused a market-wide sell-off Plus, a ...
More About: Airlines , Today , Jack , Speak , Minutes
The Next Wave of the Housing Crisis, Oil $132, Dollar Falls, The $175 Burge
2008-05-21 20:07:00
by Addison Wiggin & Ian Mathias Could the housing crisis really be bottoming? One chart shows the worst is yet to come Moody?s explains AAA rating fiasco: computer glitch Oil at $130? what?s behind the latest crude climb, and why it should go even higher Congress does its part to keep oil prices low? how does one sue ...
More About: Dollar , Today , Housing , Minutes , Crisis
Cost of Chinese Quake, A Canary in a Coal Mine, Kevin Kerr’s Big Buying O
2008-05-20 19:49:00
by Addison Wiggin & Ian Mathias Chinese quake begins to hurt the Street… first estimates of financial losses emerge Which canary in a coal mine is squawking for a Dow recovery Inflation rises again… why Ben Bernanke might be particularly bothered by the latest PPI Two grains crash in Chicago… Kevin Kerr with what might be the “best buying opportunity of the year” Plus, the world’s most expensive car   Markets around the world are finally beginning to feel the effects of the earthquake in China. The Shanghai Composite plunged 4.5% last night. The 7.9 magnitude quake in the Sichuan province of China killed an estimated 71,000 people, displaced over 12 million more and made day-to-day life very difficult. Xi Guohua, vice minister of industry and information technology, suggested yesterday the quake would cost Sichuan’s 14,000 companies around $10 billion. And according to the state-owned Chinese media, the quake would trim 0.2% off of China’s total an...
More About: Buying , Coal Mine , Quake , Cost
The Worst is Over, Baltic Dry?s Big Comeback, The $25 Billion Dinner, Fanni
2008-05-19 20:28:00
by Addison Wiggin & Ian Mathias Economists predict worst of 2008 recession is over? consumers say it?s just begun Dollar?s back in the dumps? which two foreign currencies benefit most from the latest downturn Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac both seek sudden cash injections? leverage at all-time-scary levels Baltic Dry Index back at record highs? Chris Mayer interprets ...
More About: Dinner , Today , Minutes , Comeback
World GDP Surges, Banks Still Desperate for Cash, Good News for Housing, St
2008-05-16 20:54:00
by Addison Wiggin & Ian Mathias So much for ?decoupling?: Nations of the world report optimistic GDP growth German president/former IMF chief lays the smackdown on banks of the world Fed keeps U.S. financials afloat? latest data show financials still in desperate need of cash Housing gets a surprise batch of positive data? has the bottom been struck? Plus, ...
More About: News , World , Banks , Good News , Today
Freddie Mac in Trouble, Volcker on the Credit Crisis, The Farm Bill, World?
2008-05-15 20:26:00
by Addison Wiggin & Ian Mathias Freddie Mac losses $151 million? even after admittedly fudging its books Capitol Hill ?worried about the failure? of Freddie and Fannie? a few startling stats not to be overlooked Dollar inches down? Paul Volcker on the event that could bring us ?back to the ?70s, or worse? Bloated farm bill squeezes through ...
More About: World , Credit , Today , Freddie Mac
Consumer Food Prices Skyrocket, Oil At Another Record, How to Play Gold, Ho
2008-05-14 21:47:00
by Addison Wiggin & Ian Mathias CPI report shows slowing consumer inflation? if you don?t eat Oil hits another high? Congress moves to stop filling American reserves Chris Mayer on a hot M&A market?and his favorite ways to play it Gold falls again? David Galland on how to handle the swings, and what to expect next Jim Rogers on ...
More About: Food , Play , Consumer , Today
Federal Deficit Balloons, Financial Warning Signs, Small Cap Breakout, and
2008-05-13 20:35:00
by Addison Wiggin & Ian Mathias Federal spending on track for annual record? just how big is $3 trillion? Financial CEOs sound warnings? predictions from leaders of JPM and AIG Market rallies? Greg Guenthner on the sector looking ready to break out Oil hits new high, but suddenly retreats? why the world might be using less crude over ...
More About: Today , Signs , Warning Signs , Small
Consumers Doubt Stimulus, U.S. Pension Funds in Trouble, The Dollar Comebac
2008-05-12 20:26:00
by Addison Wiggin & Ian Mathias New poll shows most Americans think stimulus checks won?t help U.S. economy Local governments take a page from the Fed? nationwide pension plans in peril George Soros on the ?new paradigm? about to take over global markets Food prices continue to rise? Kevin Kerr on how to profit in I.O.U.S.A. Chuck Butler on ...
More About: Dollar , Today , Pension , Doubt , Minutes
Trade Deficit Narrows, Oil and Gas at New Highs, Buffett In Jail, and More!
2008-05-09 20:07:00
by Addison Wiggin & Ian Mathias Trade deficit narrows more than expected? is the U.S. on a path to greater economic prosperity? Dollar resumes losing streak? how the Fed?s latest deal is only making matters worse Oil hits another record high? the events that sent crude to a stunning $126 Fuel prices at all-time highs ...
More About: Buffett , Today , Jail , Minutes
Congress Debates Coin Clipping, Oil at Another Record High, Consumers Spend
2008-05-08 21:28:00
by Addison Wiggin & Ian Mathias Pennies and nickels no longer worth smelting value? dollar?s demise tempts government to begin clipping coins Eric Fry on the U.S. money supply and why its abundance means oil?s price ?must increase over time? Consumer spending jumps to holiday highs? before stimulus checks hit mailboxes Hank Paulson says worst of credit crisis ...
More About: Congress , Debates , Today , High , Record
Another Oil All Time High, Gold Forecasts, Fannie?s Surprise, Opportunity i
2008-05-07 21:14:00
by Addison Wiggin & Ian Mathias Oil at another record high? what two events pushed crude to $122 So where?s the next stop for the black goo? Gold man says $200, The 5 thinks $100 Gold showing small signs of strength? Ed Bugos? short- and medium-term forecasts Fannie Mae drives into the ditch… government buys ?em a new car ...
More About: Time , Today , Opportunity , High
More Huge Writedowns, Berkshire Wrap-Up, $5 Gas, The Laffer Curve, and More
2008-05-06 20:49:00
by Addison Wiggin & Ian Mathias More multibillion-dollar write-downs? banks and brokerages to fire tens of thousands more Chris Mayer and Dan Amoss with their favorite sound bites from the Berkshire Hathaway annual meeting Latest ISM data surprise the street? could the service sector be staging a comeback? Consumers expecting $5 gas by year?s end? ...
More About: Today , Curve , Huge , Minutes , Wrap
Voters Want Stronger Economy, Greenspan Calls Recession, Gold?s Uncertainty
2008-05-05 20:38:00
by Addison Wiggin & Ian Mathias Forget Iraq, ?economy? ranks as No. 1 vote getter in 2008 election Alan Greenspan says U.S. in recession Warren Buffett on the currency he wouldn?t buy Gold finds buying support? Ed Bugos on the uncertainty still surrounding a sudden rebound Stamps to cost a penny more? but are mysteriously approaching all-time cheap Tales from ...
More About: Economy , Today , Calls
Surprising Jobs Report, Fed Alters Policy, S&P Quits Rating Mortgages, Chin
2008-05-02 18:47:00
by Addison Wiggin & Ian Mathias Jobs report surprises all? what the mainstream will tell you and what they won?t John Williams with two charts showing a U.S. recession happening right now Rate cuts might be over, but “liquidity injections” aren’t… three new moves by the Fed S&P quits rating mortgage-backed securities, says it?s just too hard China carves ...
More About: Today , Report , Policy , Mortgages
The Birth of OREC, Fed Rate Cut, A Gold Forecast, and More!
2008-05-01 21:43:00
by Addison Wiggin & Ian Mathias Move over, OPEC? Asian countries move to form OREC and control the world?s No. 1 food Kevin Kerr on why the ag boom is still alive and kicking Fed cuts, investors react? our take on the latest FOMC decision Gold at near 4-month lows? Ed Bugos with what to expect next for ...
More About: Today , Birth , Minutes , Rate
U.S Not Yet In Recession, Why Gasoline is Still Cheap, Two Crisis Proof Fin
2008-04-30 22:14:00
by Addison Wiggin & Ian Mathias U.S. not in recession, says gov.? one common-sense indicator to the contrary Kevin Kerr’s startling figures: Why $3.61 gas is still cheap Credit crisis continues? two financials that have totally dodged the subprime bullet What Jim Rogers is buying ?for the first time in a long time? Sovereign wealth funds on track to ...
More About: Today , Proof , Gasoline , Cheap , Minutes
Housing?s Downward Spiral, America?s New #1 Worry, How Oil Could Go Back to
2008-04-29 23:02:00
by Addison Wiggin & Ian Mathias Housing takes another turn for the worst? three data releases all indicate no bottom in sight Yet the U.S. consumer has a new No. 1 economic concern? Global strife keeps oil near record highs? Chris Mayer on the domestic oil play about to boom Rice backs off record highs? Thai trading chief ...
More About: America , Today , Back , Worry
Rebate Checks, Energy Prices, Sell In May, The U.S. Recession, and More!
2008-04-28 20:11:00
by Addison Wiggin & Ian Mathias Bush declares no recession for U.S?. positive GDP reading seems imminent Ready to be stimulated? First round of guv?ment rebates hits digital inboxes today Kevin Kerr on a rising cost stinging all Americans? farmers especially Sell in May? One chart that gives plenty of credence to the tired clich Jim Rogers on the ...
More About: Energy , Today , Minutes , Recession
A Reason to Celebrate, Dollar Rebounds, Rice Still Crazy, Housing Outlook,
2008-04-25 22:22:00
by Addison Wiggin & Ian Mathias The 5 turns 1? our birthday present to you Dollar rallies? which commodities have pulled back and which rage ahead U.N. chief calls for ?immediate action? to solve a sudden ?real global crisis? Financial borrowing shows credit crisis has yet to peak Stimulus checks ready to mail? cries already heard for a second ...
More About: Outlook , Today , Celebrate , Crazy
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