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Nature's Republic
2007-10-25 02:58:00
By the People, Of the People, for the People of planet Earth.That is how being a good shepherd of Earth's riches should be played out. And that would be Nature's Republic played out in the colors of individual nations in individual countries. And the good thing about the present and profound climate change is this: - It shows that path is OPEN to ALL OF US.The thing that it shows us so brightly and clearly is that either each of us benefits, OR non of us will. This profound climate change of biblical proportions and on a biblical time scale leaves NO other choice in this.That is why Nature's Republic will be the best thing coming out of all these birth pains of Climate Change.I am not an idealist in this. Radicals, dictators and mad mans will still occasionally grab hold of power. But the resounding demand over other tribulations coming from the peoples toward the right leader will be looking after Nature's needs first. Human nature in all it's shades and glories included. And...

Electric Sun Brightening
2007-10-25 00:09:00
The cause for the Electric Sun is a very interesting one. Today I gave some serious thoughts to so called climate change sceptics or global warming sceptics as labelled in the media. And I came away with a mixed bag of thoughts.The predominant among them is the consequence of an electric weather system on Earth caused by the activities of an ELECTRIC Sun.But close second is that 'sceptics' don't seem to deny that something is profoundly changing. Instead, they emphasise two plausible axioms: (1) Changes may NOT be irrevocable; and (2) We humans may not contribute to the current rapid climate change as much as we think we do.In other words, vast greenhouse component in the atmosphere in the past may have been the consequence of global warming and not the cause. Indeed, just thawing permafrost alone could have contributed to a runaway warming that stopped the Gulf stream so many times in the past and in the end triggered ice ages. The cause? Electric Sun proponents possible answer:...

Yesterday's Researcher Today's Witness
2007-10-22 03:00:00
Time to give a new status to the research scientists of Global Warming and Climate Change. Let's call them Expert Witness instead of Scientific Researcher. Here is why.For the next 30-40 years and possibly longer, the most they can do is to research the consequences. As they are playing catch up to events out of our and their influence finding out new consequences daily pretty much overwhelms their task of finding out the reasons. By the time a new reason is pinpointed two new and unexpected consequences bob up redefining the status and validity of those earlier reasons.You need facts? Here is the latest all encompassing and really disturbing set: http://www.washingtonpost.com/../2007/10/ 21/AR2007102100766Changes play out with speed where a scientist can do a good job at following consequences on a hot trail, but a poor job in keeping with redefining the reasons. All they can do really is to investigate consequences and answering to questions we pose about WHAT is happening as Expe...

About Exclusive Change
2007-10-20 09:35:00
Can we exclude anyone from the changes we bring about? Can we say, oh but I only change back climate for this nation, this country or this race? Yes we can. But the point is, we can't really do that. And that's a good thing about changing climate back. It will provide us with a Biblical experience of doing good for all the peoples there are.Why Biblical? Because the effects if good or bad will inevitably embrace the next few thousand years. And that is a Biblical time scale in any book.Can we abandon the task by saying: Hey, I don't want to help some ignorant bastard who lives miles away and by the way, I don't even know him or her. For all I know he or she could be a criminal or an imbecile. Yes, that's true. But would it make sense? Wouldn't that be madness square?It is not about forgiving, because we don't even know those sins and whether or not they exist. It is not about preempting either precisely for the same reason. It is about believing in the common good. That we co...
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Atlantic Carbon Uptake Halved!
2007-10-20 08:08:00
Breaking news today: Now this is worrisome to say the least. In the narrow time space of the past 10 years the carbon uptake of the Atlantic ocean has shrunk dramatically. We need to watch this trend very closely. It could signal Purgatory time.The combined data of some 90 thousand measuring time-points (that is a staggering set of almost 100 thousand separate measurement) shows a disturbing trend. In the past ten years since the 1990s the amount of carbon dioxide (CO2) that the ENTIRE Atlantic ocean can mop up from the atmosphere has been cut i.Why is it important? For two reasons at least.One, the oceans are thought to be the real deal compared to old growth rain forest when it comes to cleaning up the atmosphere. And two, it is not just surface absorption by the huge body of water that helps. It is just as much important that the tiny crustacean organisms living there breath in CO2 and build it in the carbon of their tiny shells. When they die, they sink to the bottom, removing ...
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Beholden to Digital Limits
2007-10-17 01:25:00
At times of hardship we try to deceive ourselves that all may be well it is just us who worries. And pass up the proper looking at the bottom of it. Now, with the ever increasing problem solving power of computer models it may be no different. In fact, the digital realm itself could be a problem.In the old days, folks saw drying rivers and crops wilting from searing heat and they KNEW they were in for rough times. Today to believe most anything we are beholden to the might of all-knowing digital models. The extent of the changing climate included. But digital models are the product of the mind well fed from the abundance of food and prosperity. Little wonder it is then that at the time of the hardships we face digital worlds can just as well blindfold us. And when they do, they do it with a false authority of objectivity.Today, we see what is on our nose but don't necessarily believe it. Not unless digital models can simulate in minute detail the same. There are scientists who now ...
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Gore - Obama 08
2007-10-13 03:57:00
This Blog is much apolitical. But our best hope for a long term Nature's Republic is a Gore -Obama ticket in 2008. Let me explain.The ticket would have all the money Obama raised. It would also have Gore's tremendous standing. Gore would probably be easily re-elected if climate would show a worsening trend in a 4 year term. Obama would be a Governor General type Vice President with a growing standing. He is the most talented politician of his age in the States today. After 8 years he will have easily won nomination.Now for the climate part. Gore is undoubtedly equipped with what it takes to shift the economy into a new and very profitable trajectory. This would be not just the cutting of losses because of major re-tooling. (That's what corporations would do without the Gore vision that already exists and well manifested. It has tremendous reach. It is also and very clearly working.)Check it out for yourself how Gore's vision would re-engineer triple bottom line on the scale of in...

Three headed dog
2007-10-12 16:15:00
We knew that changing climate back was long term. But 600 years ? At least that is what the a phenomenon called by CSIRO climate scientist Dr Wenju Cai (marine and atmospheric research) calls the "three headed dog." Avid Planet Ark-ers will have read this already to much of their dismay I am sure.http://www.planetark.org/dailynewsst ory.cfm/newsid/44719/story.htmBut even if we fix climate and arrest global greenhouse gas emissions (he mentions CO2 but one may also count in methane) the recovery will take longer than our lifetime, much longer. Over half a millennium, according to Cai and his calculations.What it means that in southeast and southwest Australia their is an unsavory combination of climate elements causing extended drought. The Indian Ocean Dipole, the Southern Annular Mode shifting westerlies southward, and increasingly powerful El Nino events create three interacting prongs.1. Confluence of a "wet weather" La Nina event in the Pacific and a "dry weather" Indian Ocean Di...

Ice age favours North
2007-10-05 11:15:00
Another reason to start 'house cleaning' at the North Atlantic thermohaline conveyor belt. Ice age if it comes, may affect less the the Southern hemisphere.http://www.theage.com.au/../20 07/10/05/..1357944.htmlWe knew from earlier and Change-Climate-Back has reported on this at some length that the warming will actually increase ice in the Antarctic because snow precipitation there is still more than ice melting.We have also reported that due to fresh-water leaks from melting ice in the North Atlantic the thermohaline circulation here (also known as the Gulf Stream) has already weakened significantly. Some estimate that decrease at 30%. The process may foreshadow a potential shut down of the circulation, which from earlier data appears to conclude in 3 short years substantially decreasing the mean temperature at the North - that is much of the northern part of the Northern hemisphere.But it has received less public attention that the Atlantic and the Pacific ocean conveyor belts ar...

Let's avoid hysteria NOW
2007-09-29 09:25:00
Every problem can be turned into a solution. Most with technologies that exist today. Only we need to DECIDE / ACT FAST.Ok, let's name two problems here to illustrate how this works. One is quite old, but no one so far cared to give it a policy focus with teeth. The other is so new, it seems even the UN have not considered yet.About the rate of changehttp://www.cicero.uio.no/fulltext/i ndex_e.aspx?id=5690Hydro-power is methane emitter unless ...http://www.planetark.org/dailynewsstor y.cfm/newsid/44533/story.htmBefore listing them in more detail here, one thing needs an early highlight:Problems - and solutions - come up so fast these days that the bureaucratic never-ending procedures of all kinds of panels, UN blessing, scientists back-forth throwing the ball etc etc needs a bit of speeding up.Why, you aks? The first problem I list will answer it amply: -It is not just the change of temperature that matters, but equally, the rate of that change.Average emperature may only increase a ...
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Arctic Melt Increases
2007-09-07 08:57:00
Previous predictions need yet new update.http://www.washingtonpost.com/../2 007/09/06/AR2007090602499.htmlThe article is thought provoking and confirms the general assumption that feedback processes have not yet been included in many models.(source RealClimate.org)In this case, disappearing ice sheet would reduce reflection that would send heat back to space and in turn increase the amount of trapped heat. Would be interesting to see if this was factored in the assumptions.Also, the IPCC May Report that was issued for policy makers around the world has admittedly not included the fact and consequences of faster meltdown.The report also seems to confirm expert predictions often cited on this Change Climate Back blog that 30-40 year changes have already been locked in and are largely due to the amount of carbon dioxide already trapped.Related post:http://changeclimateback.blogspot.co m/2007/05/cost-of-global-warming-fix-uses -old.html
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Vortex Engines Change Climate Back?
2007-07-26 11:18:00
Change climate back with Atmospheric Vortex Engines (AVE)? Industrial Scale AVE activity Could Expel Trapped Greenhouse Heat Across the Globe. This may be one of the cornerstone inventions against swift global warming and marking the beginning of changing climate back.The proposition is extraordinary: Create clean energy that does NOT require carbon-expensive cooling towers. But that is just the beginning of it.Using the same process Vortex engines would in effect propel excess hot air into the troposphere and beyond. In theory this would eventually expel heat and radiate it back to space where it came from in the first place.They would be built over oceanic platforms in the tropics (preferably right on the equator) where hot air directly rises into the troposphere.Dangers:The troposphere is already warming. So it must be absolutely ensured that radiating heat whizzes past the troposphere and into the stratosphere (currently cooling and also unexpectedly retaining water vapor) where...
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Community Gardens
2007-07-10 03:01:00
Community gardens and City Farms are not just about changing climate back. They are about adapting to changing climate in such a way that could be exemplary even after climate consolidated. http://www.placemark.com.au/community-gar dens.htmlWhy you ask? Because the loss of agricultural land is already a reality as well as genetically tempered produce that is out of public control (in part because companies make the the production "blue-print" commercially confidential.)Add to it that we may start assigning increasing amount of land to growing crops for burning it as fuel just to get from A to B (that is for bio-ethanol or bio-fuel.) That takes them out of the zero sum game, that is the amount of land available globally for agricultural produce. As a result, the intensity with which the public will require clean and controlled production of food produce (and possible hobby plants and cut flowers that are not toxic or contaminated) may in turn increase dramatically - no matter what.The...
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Desalinated Salt
2007-06-20 00:58:00
About The Immense Salt Concentrate By-Product From Desalination PlantThis post will get into the problem of:Where, Why, and How We May Put Them For Best UseFresh off the press: by 2010 Victoria will receive a desalination plant to ease freshwater crisis caused by this extended drought. (Drinking water shortage is likely to be curbed, giving us a false sense of security that all is well.) But where to put the immense salt that is created as a by-product to making freshwater?I suspect there will be enough desalination plants soon, to have large industrial quantities of precious sea salt. But also have the mounting problem of where to put them.Let's ponder that ...Here is an idea: - We should pump it back where it is most needed. And I blogged enought on the subject to suggest the following.Re-salinate the Thermohaline circulation starting with the Gulf stream ...Locate the most sensitive vortexes that power the return deep undercurrent streams in the thermohaline circulation (these ...
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Adapt To Change. Count The Seasons.
2007-06-14 12:24:00
When adapting to change the future may lay in the past.Let's count the seasons and compare.At last we have winter again in Melbourne. The last time we had winter it was 2000. So all we need to do really is to count 2 Olympics and presto. In 7-8 years we have winter again. And what winter. We used to have 4 European seasons in a day during winter. And if that wasn't enough, we now have a great deal more.But in face of the projected drastic and perpetual changes it also begs the question: - Weren't things like this before?As hot midland air pushes precious rain more and more southward we see a dry and cold winter as a growing menace. But how about thinking in not just more seasons but also different ones. How about looking to many old seasons in the face of a formidably new weather system forming around us as we speak?Aboriginal people living in the same land had their calendar written for them by the native plants and animals - all superbly adopted their lives to the harsh climate...
More About: Seasons , Change , Count , Seas , Chang

Perpetual Drastic Change
2007-06-12 07:19:00
It's time to re-frame the debate, so it begins to ring the bell.Just posted this on RealClimate. You will be able to see it in a flesh here:http://www.realclimate.org/index.php /archives/2007/06/g8-summit-declaration/J ust curious.Broad consensus appear to support:Oceans will rise for millennia, due to heat expansion, even if all the ice to melt is gone. But suppose, by some yet unspecified MIRACLE we stop earlier. At what level ocean rise can be stabilised AFTER the expected Biblical time-period is over.Has anybody EVER taken into effect the best scenario would mean in terms of increased pressure on fault and rift lines under the sea? What kinds of super-vulcanoes are we brewing?And if we haven't got ANY idea, isn't that mortally dangerous to even LET it contemplate to allow to happen.Yet gigantic underwater chambers are sucked dry form oil and gas so the pressure rifts around them can sustain is decreased dramatically. Meanwhile we are piling gigantic heaps of hydraulic pressure ...
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Revisit Geoengineering In LightOf The Solar Shield Risk Report
2007-06-06 03:13:00
I call it Global engineering and given the planetary risks I think it is more fitting actually. But I need to revisit drastic solutions that NOT, I repeat Not Planetary Augmentations. And the solar shield is clearly not such. Not in the light of the report of a recent scientific simulation by Ken Caldeira et al of Stanford University fame.According to the study released 4 Jun 2007, the Fresnel lens shield contemplated by NASA and others to block some sunlight and cool the planet this way carries TOO Large Risk s of causing the opposite. Because if the project was firmly in place, but for some reason failed afterwards, an abrupt runaway heating would result, far worse than we would have otherwise. Also the rainfall would increase dramatically on a Planetary scale.This last I personally attribute to the large water vapor reserve now building up in the currently cooling stratosphere. Cool it some more, and you mess it up big time. Abruptly heat it then (as a result of shield failure) an...
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Six-pack Solar Hot Water
2007-06-05 08:47:00
Someone say that solar hot water is expensive.Not if you like beer.Hey we live in Aussie Land, we could do much better. But I suspect it wasn't invented Down Under because we like beer in those bottles, not water. Still, a fitting invention. And of all countries, a Chinese villagers had to come up with it. Well done! A TOP Diy idea.Mr Ma Yanjun with his Bear Bottle Solar Hot Water invention.Yes folks, those ARE beer bottles, ingenuously connected to each other and a circulation plastic pipe. All fixed to a board. And there are some serious numbers there. 66 bottles, say 50 cent each and a couple of meters of hose plus a board will set you back a whopping $50 bucks. Terrible I say. Just TOO expensive to keep up with this climate change nonsense.You think it can't work? Think again. Mr Ma Yanjun, of Qiqiao village, Shaanxi province says it provides enough water for a family of free. And it spreads like WILDFIRE I tell you. Already, 10 other families are catching on the RAGE in the v...
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Obama Stumbles - and Stays in Limbo
2007-05-11 01:35:00
Presidential candidate and current Illinois senator Barack Obama has to be in two minds about dirty coal. He wants to get rid of it but he also wants to keep it. So now he is in limbo. With a little Bushism, Obama wants to "cleanify" the tainted coal. Via http://www.washingtonpost.com/../AR200705 0701771.htmlTo do justice to the man, he is senator of the state that is already among the biggest dirty coal producers in the US. Not to mention that her yet unmined reserves would offer untold riches in energy production for Illinois. So how could Obama not support the good people of the State that gave Lincoln to the US. Would be unfair, wouldn't it.The name of the game of course is clean coal, just so long as coal is still part of the plan. So Obama promptly proposes this course of actioan - he and others want call it coal-to-liquids - just as any sensible man in his place would do. He proposes a legislation in the senate to promote turning coal into liquid fuel for vehicles. He figures...
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Sceptic Gets Mired in Controversy
2007-05-10 02:36:00
Well known Global Warming sceptic Professor Bob Carter gets a fair hearing and gets into trouble. He got more than flashy soundbites to elaborate on his position. He got himself against a mighty listener: Dr Stephen Schneider. All we ask that Mr Carter should also listen. To himself.So hear Mr Carter out. In introduction, his position is that putting Carbon Dioxide (CO2) into the air is like putting coats of white paint on a house. The first quantum (layer) will reflect most of the sunshine and consecutive layers - no matter how many - will not add much more to the reflectivity. Similarly, he says, doubling CO2 is causing most of the warming and consecutive outputs are not that big of a concern.He supports his argument by saying that warming should be seen on a very long time horizon measured in hundreds of thousands perhaps millions of years. He argues these are processes of geological length. And than he turns around and says, a shining fact to support him is the fact that in the ...
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Cost of Global Warming Fix Uses Old Model
2007-05-05 12:30:00
By the time government representatives managed to broker something they found acceptable the model it has been based on had become outdated.Still there is something very newsworthy in this: The scientific panel was international and it included a delegation from the US. Also, price tags for Plan A, B and even C have been calculated.Further the panel found that:Summary report pdf to download"... blunting the consequences of global warming will require different lifestyles, higher prices for basics including gasoline and electricity, and a much greater investment in research and development efforts."These are very important and very striking statements. You may want to compare the statement on lifestyle change to this previous ChangeClimateBack blogpost: ../2007/04/problem-with-overconsumption.h tmlThe other important point is that costs are affordable. However, the report is seriously lacking by it's own admission."... estimates of potential price increases for gas and other energy s...
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Simple Carbon Saving Tips - for FREE
2007-04-28 06:31:00
A few simple things I am committed to do that you can do too. It costs you nothing. Nada. Zilch. (If anything you'll save.)In fact, the state of the Planet is such that if even one of us skips trying these, it makes the effort of the rest of us so much less useful.Don't use your car when you don't have to. (When I did a major research about shopping habits I found that millions of millions of people jump in the car twice daily for a singular item - loaf of bread, bottle of milk - from the local.)Stop the engine when you can and it makes sense. (Most everyone I ever met on the roads, keep their engine running at long red lamps or while the boom gate is down. And it is just silly.)Try not to drive alone whenever you can and it makes sense. When with friends you know are responsible drivers, give up that ego thing for a while. Jump in thier car when you "just pop out" somewhere together. The trip is always longer for some reason, but more than that. This way it'll be memorable too....
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The problem with overconsumption
2007-04-27 01:16:00
The problem with overconsumption is the overuse of global resources NOT local products. There is only so much resource the Planet can afford for a person. That amount is a zero sum (what goes in should come out) and the Planet is pretty unapologetic about that. Presently we are overeating that amount by an unhealthy margin. There is little offering solace for change.The area needed to support one person including aquaculture, mining, agriculture and energy generation is called a per capita global hectare. It has been calculated and the figures are not pretty. Equally spread accross countries our Earth can afford 1.8 hectare per person. Presently we are using 2.2 per capita - that is 122% of all available global resources. And we cannot stretch the Planet to make it 22 percent bigger just to fit.Now let's put that into perspective ...If you are eating more than your body can burn - recycle it in the form of useful energy - you go fat. Then is a good idea to lose weight. But what if ...
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Global Climate Engine 3D Animated
2007-04-26 23:28:00
http://www.pmel.noaa.gov/tao/vis/explorer /t-dyn-med.htmlThis is where the cookie crumbles. The Pacific near surface water body temperature is the Number One Global Climate Engine . This where El-Nino and La-Nina form - the climate events of planetary length and reach. They can last up to 3-5 years bringing drought or rain to areas across the Globe respectively.Pictured is our best hope for a La-Nina - again - in nearly 60 months - that is 5 years. The cool blue shows colder surface temperature where it should be - in the Eastern Equatorial Pacific region. But previous patterns show that it needs to "bite in" for more than the half the with of the Pacific Ocean for a La-Nina to successfully stabilise.If you switch animation to slow, you'll see that such conditions where formed a few times, none of them bringing a real La-Nina yet. Now is the chance.
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La Nina may bring RAIN and break the drought
2007-04-22 05:13:00
The satellite image was computed from a multiple of buoy data (Feb. 28, 2007)I have been following this for a few weeks now. We all know that El Nino is officially over. It is common wisdom, that La Nina (the opposite of El Nino) tends to form on the tail of its brother waning away. And now it appears that oceanic surface tempereature drop in the Equatorial Pacific (a main pattern of La Nina formation) is spreading or at least has been stabilising over the past weeks or so.A recent update was computed (Apr. 20, 2007)Here you can follow current data all the time.http://www.pmel.noaa.gov/tao/If the trend continues, welcome rain may arrive at North-Eastern Australia.It is too early to tell though the signs are welcoming.At the very least I am going to clean the old gutter below the eucalipt tree that I've been putting off for some time now. So when the rain comes the pipes won't be blocked. Even if it is unlikely that Victoria will receive a lot of it. But who knows, with ...
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Environmental risk awareness about Global Warming doubles in the US.
2007-04-20 14:40:00
Important development in public awareness.Environmental risk awareness about Global Warming doubles in the US.But Americans are devided about new tax allocations to tackle the problem. Costs of tax increase on electricity and gasoline now seems to outweigh the public's growing focus on opportunity costs such as energy efficient fuel.The situation is getting ripe for the latter as it gains bipartisan support in the House.Efficiency is the key word in the public mind with a view to better products such as air conditioners and refrigerators.Growing Number of Americans See Warming as Leading Threat - washingtonpost.com
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New Green Entrepreneurs on the Block
2007-04-20 13:59:00
Look out for them new Green Entrepreneurs with a responisble and laudable agenda. And they - Rick, Karen and Debbie have some interesting things to say. They only just started to so let's follow them with interest.BeGreenAndSave
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How Green Altruism Can Pay
2007-03-18 09:06:00
A great way to evalute green stocks from a 50/50% safe/greedy "home base". EnviroInvestors.com | Environment | Investing | Sustainable Economy | Think, Buy, Survive: Checking In: Does Altruism Pay?
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Make Markets Work for Climate
2007-03-18 06:26:00
This was a major event, so I report on it in some detail. (It came ot my attention only recently.) Make Market s Work for Climate Amsterdam October 16, 2006 Opening Session Speaker: Katherine Sierra World Bank Vice President for Sustainable Development The first major point was delivered right a way and it sounds like this: On the short term fossil fuel should be part of the mix. Reason? We
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Sea level could rise faster while Antarctic gains mass
2007-03-16 07:01:00
Hot off the press are some interesting findings. In brief: If iceberg calving in the Antartic (huge chunks braking off the ice shelves) continue at current rate, glaciers could get involved. It appears that, if unencumbered, they slip faster into sea, then previously thought. This could far accelerate sea level rise beyond the currently projected 28-43 cm over the next 100 years. However,
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