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Fallacy

The Fallacy of Hereditarian Racial IQ Gap Theory
2008-09-02 13:38:00
The latest death toll figures from Hurricane Katrina can be seen on this website here. The famous Russian neo-Nazi video is on this blog here.Updated September 2. I am republishing this piece which I published earlier. I am including some links and some more data making the case for a 6-10 Flynn Effect gain for US NE Asians from the 1970's to today. They went from about 97.5 IQ to 103.5 IQ (or 100.5 IQ to 106.5 IQ renormed) over 30 years, meeting and then surpassing US Whites, a gain of approximately 6 full points, purely by the environment.In the comments section, Alan Weiss, a very smart guy, says it is either intellectually lazy or racist to assume that the B-W IQ gap, now at 13.5 points, not 15 points, as is frequently reported, is genetic. I don't agree that it's automatically racist or lazy to assume that the B-W gap is genetic. The hereditarians have done some excellent work in proving their case.I guess my argument is that the hereditarian case is not necessarily relevan...
"It's a fallacy to take the wines at room temperature"
2008-05-25 00:27:00
The Spanish daily Hoy, in the region of Extremadura, recently published an interview with Jose Serrano, an official of the Ministry of Agriculture and one of the specialists who know more wine in Spain. Then, an excerpt from the interview: Should we take into account the conditions under ......
By: Wine Blog
The ?Long War? Fallacy
2008-05-14 04:07:00
laTimes: Donald Rumsfeld is today a discredited and widely reviled figure. Robert Gates, Rumsfeld’s successor as Defense secretary, is generally admired for manifesting qualities that Rumsfeld lacked — a willingness to listen not least among them. Yet on one crucial point, the two see eye to eye: Both believe that the United States has no ...
Tanggapan Untuk Artikel ?Kenapa Aku Nolak Syiah?
2008-05-06 21:48:00
Setelah ber-argumentum ad hominem, sekarang ku coba melangkahkan kaki ini menuju wilayah ilmiah yang tidak berfallacy. Sebelumnya, aku memohon maaf kepada para pembaca yang sudi membaca tulisan tololku ini. Mungkin tulisan ini terlalu panjang, tetapi aku sangat memohon kepada Anda untuk membacanya dengan khidmat tanpa mengeluh karena saking panjangnya tulisan ini. Jika dalam beberapa argumen yang ...
The Aerobic Fallacy
2008-04-22 10:13:00
I believe that it is part of my job as a fitness expert to bring the science to you. Much of what is currently out there is based in nothing but tradition and acceptance. I know that this weeks newsletter will come as a great surprise to the majority of you and you can do what you would like with the information that I am going to present in this edition. All I ask is that you at least give it some thought. This may come as a shock to you, but to sculpt a lean, muscular, athletic and toned body, aerobic exercise is one of the worst ways to achieve this desired look. Aerobics means “with oxygen” and in terms of exercise, much of what is seen in the gym on the “cardio” equipment is aerobic. The reason I am quoting cardio is because cardio is not the same thing as aerobics, yet the two are used interchangeably everyday. All aerobic exercise is cardiovascular in nature, but not all cardiovascular exercise is aerobic. Cardio simply means any mode of exercise that ...
Tony Ferguson Weightloss Program: Exposing the Fallacy!
2008-04-17 04:27:00
With so many weight loss products and plans on the market, just keeping up to date can be a challenge. The Tony Ferguson weightloss program has now taken up residence in my local pharmacy, where I recently observed a lady purchasing a mountain of shakes, soups and supplements. This got my heckles up! I mean, if you ...
Karnataka Polls - Fallacy of OBC Reservations
2008-04-10 23:47:00
The Supreme Court verdict on 27% OBC Reservations saw predictable responses with the Congress and JD-S in Karnataka attempting to claim credit. First you had Veerappa Moily, Chairman of the Oversight Committee for implementation of 27 per cent reservation for Other Backward Classes (OBCs) in Central educational institutions and a bunch of OBC activists from Karnataka ...
The Fallacy in the Argument that Obama Lacks the Experience Needed to Be P
2008-04-04 03:33:00
I've noticed a fundamental illogic in claims that Obama does not have experience sufficient to be President - an illogic that deserves to be called out.Here's how it goes: Against the claim that Obama does not have enough national experience to be President, his supporters (including me) cite JFK and Theodore Roosevelt - two great Presidents who were criticized when first running for or assuming the office, as being too inexperienced to make a good President. To which Obama's opponents are quick to reply: yes, but JFK (Congressman for six years, Senator for eight) and Theodore Roosevelt (Governor of New York for two years, Vice President of the United States for less than a year)had much more experience than Obama.Well, first, regarding Roosevelt, I'd question whether his experience was more or better than Obama's - though I'd be willing to concede that being VP even for six months is certainly impressive.Much more important, however, is how the actual prior experience of J...
Long Term Investments Are Not Risk Free: The Fallacy of Large Numbers and t
2008-03-31 16:10:00
The S&P500 closed yesterday at 1,315.22 points. The first time the S&P500 stood at this level was April 1999. This past decade in the US stock markets has been a long-term investor?s nightmare. I?m referring mostly to retirement savings and households of course. The following chart is of the S&P500 index since 1999:The rule of thumb in long-term saving is that stocks, over time, are the best investment option available as volatility gets averaged out and all that is left is to enjoy the average returns over the years.Another rule is that the younger you are the riskier your investments should be since you have enough time to average out poor performance.While financial advisors work according to these rules the academic world has had problems substantiating them on a solid academic basis.Noble winning economist Paul Samuelson published an article on the subject in 1963 which is still referred to by almost any article ever since. The article was titled ?Risk and Uncertain...
Decision-Making Warning Flag 1a - The Gambler’s Fallacy
2008-03-02 07:29:00
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'Cheap' Tomatoes: The Fallacy
2008-02-19 01:56:00
The story below is brought to you from an English teacher and was written around the time of the amnesty push. Let us revisit how "cheap" tomatoes (or lettuce or grapes or substitute your favorite fruit or vegetable) are due...
DADT & The ?Unit Cohesion? Fallacy: One Veteran?s Story
2008-02-04 01:58:00
I finally received the copy of Conduct Unbecoming: Gays & Lesbians In The U.S. Military by Randy Shilts I had ordered and began reading it today. I’m only about 10% finished, but so far this book is just amazing. Growing up an Army brat, I’ve always enjoyed “war stories” from military veterans. ...
The Fallacy of Financial Innovation
2008-01-07 12:30:00
And the hardest part Was letting go not taking part Was the hardest part And the strangest thing Was waiting for that bell to ring It was the strangest start Everything I know is wrong Everything I do it just comes undone And everything is torn apart Oh and thats the hardest part Thats the hardest part Yeah, thats the hardest part Thats the hardest part The Hardest ...
The fallacy of intellectual property
2007-12-30 17:48:00
From the earliest days of human consciousness, people have been creating “intellectual property” - telling stories and singing songs, and sharing them over the group campfire with the rest of the tribe. In this manner, we have passed along history, the foundations of culture, from generation to generation for more centuries than can be ...
The Myth and Fallacy of Social Media
2007-12-10 17:49:00
How do I put this?  How does one break the news to an alcoholic, for example, that they have a disease that needs attention?  How does one explain that if the disease does not get attention, the... [[This is only the post summary. As always, your genuine comments are appreciated and readers are always welcome to leave a non-adult-oriented link to one of their sites after commenting.]]
Storm Track Disinformation: The Fallacy of Islam Equivalency
2007-12-07 17:02:00
From The Gathering Storm Blog How many times have you heard this from your leftist friends when speaking about the barbarism of radical Islam? ?Oh yeah, what about the Inquisition? What about the Ku Klux Klan. What about Timothy McVeigh? What about radical Christians who blow up abortion clinics? Huh? What about them? Huh?? So how do you ...
"They'll Follow Us Home" or, The Fallacy
2007-12-04 20:03:00
Like so much else with the Iraq War, the question of the most likely effects of an American withdrawal are colored by Vietnam. It's about time for the United States to get over the Vietnam War, since the Vietnamese seem to be over the American War, as they call it, but until we can do the same, let's study the logic employed by those who insist upon staying in Iraq."They'll follow us home", they say. This sentiment is extremely widespread, including among many who criticize the war with varying degrees of passion. It is taken by most as an article of faith that the Arabs are especially bloodthirsty, vengeful, and given to an emotional lust for revenge that stretches across generations. There is no small amount of truth to this, which is why we should not have invaded Iraq in the first place.What the debate must revolve around, however, is not the wishes of the enemy, but the intentions and capabilities of the enemy. In last week's Republican Debate, John McCain stood tall with a...
The "one in a million" fallacy
2007-12-03 18:22:00
This is the first of a couple of posts dealing with No Way’s comment on my previous post. This one doesn’t deal with religion / atheism at all, so it may be refreshing for a change. The next one does, though. This one concerns this: the argument that the combination of conditions necessary for life ...
The Cardio Body Building Fallacy
2007-11-27 00:00:00
Most workout programs, in my opinion, are examples of cardio body building and are wrongly based on bodybuilder isolation movement exercises and marathoner extended aerobic training. This is NOT the path to optimum fitness excellence! The cardio body building combination is actually the biggest training mistake you can make. Now before you get angry… There is absolutely nothing wrong ...
The fallacy of taxing the deep end of the lake
2007-11-01 05:00:00
Hat tip to my friend Rock for sending me this excellent rant. It is by a business owner on a forum my friend reads regularly. English is a second language for the author which explains why some expressions may seem a bit odd. But the sentiment and intellect of the man is obvious. It is a good common sense commentary. ~RJH TaxNational Sales tax or Income tax at a flat rate. And the Yak option—if you are impatient skip to the Yak Option There has been a lot of discussion comments and speculation on the advantages of all sorts of options on USA citizens paying a federal Tax. There always seems to be a handful of overly optimistic hopes that a perfect fair tax system can be created. As well there is a constant and historical miss-conception that the rich do not pay their fair share of taxes. And that miss understanding leads to a second falsehood that raising taxes only on the rich cannot cost the poor or middle class money. Conceive a lake, some areas very deep, and some areas very s...
'Ex-gay' Clue: We suspect FOF, with the fallacy, in the Study
2007-09-19 00:00:00
The reliably disingenuous kids at Focus on the Family are creaming their jeans over a newly released study on the ability to "change" one's homosexuality, boldly stating that the religiously skewed, Exodus-funded research "confirms long-term change away from homosexuality is...
Responding to the Trade Pipeline and the Second Half Player Fallacy
2007-08-28 08:39:00
With all of the nefarious dealings going on, clearly I couldn't sit on my hands. So here is the first of my two moves in response. Clearly after the slew of trades going on I had a few options. The first is to just cry about the whole thing and do nothing. Since I am not Bud Selig crying about stadium financing, this wasn't an option. I had to deal. There was no way for me to even respond to
Penyakit Fallacy Mendera
2007-08-20 14:56:00
Penyakit Fallacy Mendera Oleh: Yasser Arafat * Suatu saat pernah ada seorang kawan saya datang sembari berkeluh kesah. Saya tanya mengapa dia terlihat begitu kesal. Dia bilang bahwa dirinya baru saja ?diceramahi? oleh seorang mahasiswa beriman. Mahasiswa beriman itu menceramahi kawan saya seraya mendiskreditkan salah satu organisasi kemahasiswaan sebut saja organisasi itu bernama ?H?. Dia bilang bahwa ...
Dispelling The Fallacy of "Buffett Cant Buy More"
2007-07-27 15:36:00
Todd Sullivan is completely against the idea that the reason why Buffett can't buy more shares in a company is due to the size of Berkshire Hathaway. According to the SEC rules, stock purchases are prohibited in large stakes (up to 1% of daily volume) wihtout disclosing it. Todd thinks that is a crock and he has a few examples of why he thinks that isn't true. He isn't sure why, whether Buffett just doesn't want to, or whether he is just not actively managing the money, but he is sure that the SEC regulations is not the case. "Warr
The fallacy of zero defects
2007-07-04 08:02:00
I recently had the zero defects phrase thrown at me, “we strive for zero defects in company X”, said the person (who appeared to have a serious crackberry habit). Hmm, I thought do you really know what you’ve just said to me? Is it possible to attain a zero defect level in a given ...
Fallacy of the Strawman
2007-07-02 07:39:00
The two party system in the U.S. boast an easy attack-plat form for conservatives to paint social liberals, such as myself, as Marxists. There is a large difference between social liberals and those who believe in social democracy or socialism. Social liberals believe in a free market based economy in with some government involvement. We advocate the provision of positive rights anti-trust laws to prevent companies from forming monopolies. We are capitalists and tend to be centrist or center-left on fiscal issues. In the European Union, most countries tend to have a separate political party dedicated to a social liberal agenda. In Sweden the Centre Party, not the Social Democrats, represent our agenda. In the UK, the Free Democrats, not the Labour Party, represents our agenda. Our beliefs are too economically centrist and socially progressive in order to be found on the agenda of social democrats or socialists. Even social liberalism is the dominant form of liberalism in the U.S., t...
Sell in May and go away: fact or fallacy?
2007-05-18 10:59:00
?Where is the stock market heading?? is one of the questions most often asked by investors, especially as markets seem hell-bent on rewriting the record books. It is therefore no wonder that even so-called ?pop analysis?, including some legendary axioms, is resorted to in a quest for direction. And besides ?buy low and sell high? ...
The Fallacy of Prioritization
2007-05-17 04:49:00
Prioritization of tasks, or leads, is a false comfort that you are optimizing your production results. The real truth is that you are allocating time and resources to guess at what may be more valuable if you spend time on or accomplish the task. This is even a bigger fallacy as it pertains to sales leads since you have no insight into a buyers intent. You may prioritize a larger deal higher than smaller, but you may be able to equal revenue with smaller lower decision threshold accounts. The key is determining whether you are or are not going to do the task and then getting immediately to working the list. Determine whether you are going to work the lead or not and then pick up the phone.
Buy Low Sell High Fallacy
2007-05-11 21:13:00
Has anyone been able to get Brewers' pitcher David Bush at a discount due to his slow start?  How about getting $25/3rd round value for Tom Gorzelanny?  No?  Why not?  Haven't you listening to all the expert fantasy advise to buy low and sell high? Oh, yeah.  You need a counterparty to sell low and buy high in order to execute that advice.  That means the team that followed all the expert advice to draft David Bush has to believe Bush won't turn it around.  How likely is that if his owner hears those same experts advising others to get Bush because he is a good buy low player?.   The case of a $1/20+ round flyer on a Pittsburgh starting pitcher is slightly different.  Hearing fantasy experts answer that Gorzelanny is a good sell high candidate also prevents a counterparty from dealing for him.  After all, who wants to be the sucker who bought Gorzelanny right before he stops winning games and pitches to a league average ERA and WH...
Going 'Beyond' the dangerous fallacy
2007-04-06 00:00:00
We want to take a brief second to turn your attention to Beyond Ex-Gay, a new online community dedicated to those who have survived and/or are healing from their experiences with the dangerously misguided "ex-gay" movement. Featuring personal stories, poetry,...
The Dollar-Cost Averaging Investment Fallacy
2007-01-12 21:53:00
The Sun's Financial Diary has a post on dollar-cost averaging (DCA). The post is somewhat drawn out, and the conclusion comes as no surprise. The advantages of DCA are a myth, and if anything, a tool used by mutual funds, insurance companies, etc., to sell you their products. Why doesn't DCA work? The premise behind DCA is that the risk of loss is reduced by investing over time rather than as a lump sum in case the market takes a nose dive. In the short term your risk of loss would be less, but over time security prices have consistently risen more often than falling. Here are some additional articles and quotes on the subject:Timothy Middleton, "The Costly Myth of Dollar-Cost Averaging," Moneycental.msn.com. "Popular wisdom says scheduling your investments is the best way to make money. But it's actually a sales gimmick to wheedle over time what you won't commit up front."MoneyChimp, "Does Dollar Cost Averaging Work?" MoneyChimp.com. "So why do so many people persist in be...
The Fallacy of Zero Defects
2006-12-20 14:05:00
I recently had the zero defects phrase thrown at me, "we strive for zero defects in company X", said the person (who appeared to have a serious crackberry habit). Hmm, I thought do you really know... [[ This is a content summary only. Visit my website for full links, other content, and more! ]]
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