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Toronto Blue Jays Random Stats
2008-11-27 13:41:00 Toronto Blue Jays Random Stats Last season’s average positional player age of 31.0 years was the highest in franchise history. The DH games played leader for the Jays has been different for five years in a row. Counting down from 2008 to 2004, DH starters for the Jays have been Stairs, Thomas, Hillenbrand, Aaron Hill (34 ...
By: Mop Up Duty
GPA & the 2008 Toronto Blue Jays
2008-11-26 14:33:00 GPA & the 2008 Toronto Blue Jays After writing about the value of a largely OBP% prospect that can’t slug (Scott Campbell) yesterday, I decided to go back and take a look at the 2008 Toronto Blue Jays and the AL from an OBP perspective. In the classic baseball work Moneyball, there is a small section outlining ...
By: Mop Up Duty
Toronto Blue Jays 1st Base Platoon Spinners
2008-11-14 15:25:00 Toronto Blue Jays 1st Base Platoon Spinners Yesterday we looked at the “spinners” of Lyle Overbay vs LHP & RHP. Today I performed some analysis amongst low cost free agents vs rhp. Of this group the best fit for the Jays turned out to be Emil Brown. He’s a low cost solution that hits LHP. I ...
By: Mop Up Duty
Lyle Overbay Split Spinners
2008-11-13 15:23:00 Lyle Overbay Split Spinners Bear with me here, I’ll be going over one of the bigger off season issues for the Jays, which is what’s going on at 1st and DH. The Jays need more extra base power (preferably HR) from these two positions. It could be argued that they also need more HR power from ...
By: Mop Up Duty
Jesse Litsch to Tampa Bay Rays?
2008-11-12 15:18:00 Jesse Litsch to Tampa Bay Rays? Check out this photo: Awesome, huh? I gave the baseballboss game a try (the one that’s in all of the ads over at MLB Trade Rumors) and this is the card for Jesse Litsch. Check out the cut and paste on the neck. Speaking of the Jays and Rays…. Article segway. The ...
By: Mop Up Duty
How does Ichiro fare with first base occupied?
2008-09-09 19:04:00 How does Ichiro fare with 1st occupied?
By: Mop Up Duty
Who Has The Best Hook In MLB?
2008-06-30 11:23:00 Who Has The Best Hook In MLB? Instead of doing what I usually do, which is tell you who has the best curve by me looking at it on SportsCentre highlights, I am going to look at the top MLB curveball-tossers and use stats to back up my argument.
By: Mop Up Duty
No end in sight for Alex Rios slump
2008-06-07 15:22:00 No end in sight for Alex Rios slump
By: Mop Up Duty
Basketball Sabermetrics?
2008-06-04 07:04:00 Yeah, they do advanced statistical analysis in basketball as well. You might call it basketball sabermetrics, but Eli Witus from Count the Basket prefers “APBRmetrics.” Basketball has its own numbers that in which it is awash, but are those the right numbers by which to assess a player or a team? I “sat down” with ...
By: The RotoFeed
Yahoo's Sabermetrics Table - 2008 Season to Date
2008-04-23 23:35:00 Yahoo has posted their 2008 season-to-date sabermetric stats, updating the 2007 season ending totals which you can view here. This includes many sabermetric stats for MLB hitters & pitchers thus far this season.This tool includes stats such as contact %, HR rate, BB rate, K rate, and others for hitters (9 total cats) & BB/9, K/9, BABIP, FB %, GB%, and others for pitchers (17 total cats).The direct links are below:-Sabermetric Batters-Sabermetric Pitchers-GlossaryThis is good stuff, and if you're a stat geek (like me), it will keep you busy for quite some time looking through the details to try to figure out if a player who has started the year hot or cold will keep it up at his current pace.Enjoy!
By: The RotoFeed
Girlfriends and Sabermetrics
2008-04-23 07:00:00 I love her to death, but my girlfriend doesn?t play video games, and she doesn?t like fantasy baseball. Not everyone is as lucky as Edwin. For some reason though, my girlfriend loves to help me make lineup and trade decisions. Surprisingly, her advice is often quite good. I learned long ago never to ...
By: The RotoFeed
This Week in News and Sabermetrics, 4/13-4/19
2008-04-19 22:47:00 With another full week of baseball in the books, let’s recap the daylights out of it… or at least in a similar fashion to last week’s TWINS article. Interesting Bits of Tid Well, the first of many Johan vs. Hamels matchups is in the book, with the edge going to Senor Santana. Unfortunately, both pitching lines were ...
By: The RotoFeed
This Week in News and Sabermetrics: 4/6-4/12
2008-04-12 05:22:00 Welcome to the first edition of TWINS - This Week in News and Sabermetrics. This will be a weekly article recapping the goings on in the baseball world, ranging anywhere from top games of the week or oddest stats to frontrunners for awards based on my formulas and links to great articles. Expect one of these bad boys ...
By: The RotoFeed
Pecota Prediction Aren?t 100% - Re 2007
2008-02-20 17:07:00 Pecota Prediction Aren’t 100% - Re 2007
By: Mop Up Duty
Lyle Overbay: 2008 Season Preview
2008-01-29 16:58:00 Lyle Overbay: 2008 Season Preview
By: Mop Up Duty
2007 MLB Stolen Bases Allowed by a Pitcher
2007-12-24 17:00:00 2007 MLB Stolen Bases Allowed by a Pitcher
By: Mop Up Duty
2007 AL Leaders vs Certain Pitches
2007-12-23 20:53:00 2007 AL Leaders vs Certain Pitches (more…)
By: The RotoFeed
2007 AL Leaders vs Certain Pitches
2007-12-23 20:53:00 2007 AL Leaders vs Certain Pitches
By: Mop Up Duty
Baseball Theory: Non-Strikeout Outs
2007-12-21 17:26:00 Non-Strikeout Outs Baseball has quite a few accepted beliefs, strategies, etc. We’ll test a few out in this new feature here at the Mop Up Duty. First off is the amount of Non-Strikeout Outs and the counts they fall within. (more…)
By: The RotoFeed
Baseball Theory: Non-Strikeout Outs
2007-12-21 17:26:00 Non-Strikeout Outs Baseball has quite a few accepted beliefs, strategies, etc. We’ll test a few out in this new feature here at the Mop Up Duty. First off is the amount of Non-Strikeout Outs and the counts they fall within.
By: Mop Up Duty
Strikeouts vs. Success
2007-08-18 23:03:00 Strikeouts vs. Success Are strikeouts & success related? I don?t want to get to sabermetrical here, as usually the simplest stats are the most effective. For this example, I took the top fifty IP pitched leaders & divided their statistics into a two sets of groupings and ran the numbers. These stats are as of 08/17/07. Please realize that I?m trying to keep this simple, so if you could, refrain from throwing some defensive coefficient, DICE or any other saber stat at me. The first grouping I ran was by ERA. Divided into three groupings: above 4.00 ERA (19 pitchers), 3.00 ? 3.99 ERA (25) and sub 3.00 ERA (6). Remember, I?m using the top fifty IP pitched leaders for these examples: Above 4 ERA: 5.46 SO/9 3.99 ? 3.00 ERA: 7.148 Sub 3.00 ERA: 8.207 Ok, so on a simple level, grouping 1 supports the theory that ERA & SO have somewhat of a correlation. For grouping 2, we?re going to break the same 50 pitchers into groupings based upon their SO rates. To keep things even, we...
By: The RotoFeed
Measuring Position Scarcity: The Seamless Score
2007-08-14 22:45:00 Introduction How much does a player’s position influence his value? It’s a question that has plagued fantasy leaguers for years. In one draft, you’ll see the first catcher off the board in the second round. In the next, he’s still available in the seventh. The questions go deeper still: who is more valuable to a fantasy team — Justin Morneau, who racks up homers and RBI in a stacked first base class, or Brandon Phillips, who hits pretty well and plays second base? It’s fair to assume that there isn’t much of a consensus here. The question has been adequately tackled by the sabermetrics community, chiefly through Keith Wooler’s stat VORP. Standing for Value Over Replacement Player, VORP handily lets us know exactly how many runs a player contributes over a replacement level guy of that same position. Hanley Ramirez currently leads the league, totaling 67.7 runs over a hypothetical scrapheap shortstop. It’s an amazing statistic, y...
By: The RotoFeed
Football Sabermetrics Are A Lie!
2007-06-28 15:45:00 For a few weeks, ESPN.com has been running a series of articles about the most overrated and underrated players in the NFL at their respective positions. Not terribly original, but it's a quiet time in the NFL right now, so it's understandable.The essential problem with these articles are their use of sabermetrics in defining who the players are. K.C. Joyner, who calls himself "The Football Scientist," is the author of these pieces and one of the first people to try and use sabermetrics in football. The thing is, it does not work in that sport.Using metrics in baseball is completely natural. One of the most engaging aspects of baseball is the myriad of numbers and different combinations of such that creates tantalizing, unique analysis of each player. The reason this works is because of the one-on-one nature of the sport. It is always pitcher vs. batter, with fielders as the support system. This is why pitchers get wins and losses next to their names.Football is a completely diffe...
Mets and Sabermetrics - The Bullpen
2007-05-13 22:44:00 It's Derek Carty, back again to analyze the Mets Bullpen using Sabermetrics. If you missed it, yesterday I analyzed the Starting Rotation of our favorite team. If you're into this kind of stuff, check out my site: The Saberoticians. I use this type of analysis to help you win your Fantasy Baseball League. Onto the analysis...The BullpenBilly Wagner – His K rate is down a little bit, but it’s still great and his K/BB is fantastic. His GB rate is way down from its normal 45% to 37%. That should increase. He’s getting lucky, but it doesn’t make much of a difference as he is a fantastic pitcher anyway. Aaron Heilman – Heilman’s K rate is down all the way to 5.74. Probably related to his elbow troubles. His BB rate is improved, and could increase a little bit, but as long as he gets his Ks back on track he will be fine. His GB rate has also dropped from about 45% to 31.3%. That should increase as time goes on. Giving up a few too many HRs and not giving up as ...
By: Mets Fever
Mets and Sabermetrics - Starting Pitching
2007-05-12 23:35:00 For those of you who don’t know me yet, my name is Derek Carty. I have been a Mets fan all of my life, but am also big into Fantasy Baseball. I run a Fantasy Baseball advice site, The Saberoticians, that uses Sabermetrics to analyze baseball players for fantasy purposes. During Spring Training, Ed asked me if I would guest write for Mets Fever to analyze our favorite team using Sabermetrics. I gladly said ‘Yes.’ I wrote about the Mets before the season began, and I’m back again to take a look at who is getting lucky and who is getting unlucky for the Mets so far. This will take a few days, so today we’ll look at the Mets Starting Pitchers. If you like the type of stuff you’re reading and want to win your Fantasy Baseball league, take a look at my site: The Saberoticians. Starting Pitchers Tom Glavine – Glavine achieves his success through a low Walk rate and a high Groundball rate. His K/9 of 5.03 is what we expected, as is his 2.61 BB/9. His 45.6% GB ...
By: Mets Fever
Fantasy Football Sabermetrics
2007-04-04 19:10:00 I've had a decent response so far to the idea of Fantasy Football Sabermetrics and I have begun to look into it a little bit. Anyone else who would be interested in this please let me know as soon as you can. Please either comment on the original post or email me. Thanks!
By: The RotoFeed
Explanation of Sabermetrics - Power Hitting
2007-03-17 22:03:00 (NOTE: I realize a small error in my queries, so some of the numbers I had posted were incorrect. I fixed the error and corrected the numbers, but there was little difference in the results.)Ask almost any sabermetrician what the most difficult facet of baseball to predict is. You will hear one answer from almost every single one: season to season pitcher performance. While I will certainly agree that this is a very difficult thing to predict, I have found trouble in predicting something else, something from the other side of home plate: power hitting. While contact hitting remains fairly constant over the years, a hitter's ability to hit for power is always fluctuating. Younger guys are developing power, older guys are losing power. Contact hitting is much more basic. Either you are a good contact hitter or you are not. Sure, you can change your swing or learn more about it as you mature, but overall the ability to hit for contact is fairly linear. A poor contact hitter one year ...
By: The RotoFeed
Explanation of Sabermetrics - Contact Hitting and On-Base Skills
2007-03-06 10:32:02 Continuing my explanation of Sabermetrics principles and stats, we move on to the hitting side of the coin. Bill James defined Sabermetrics as "the search for objective knowledge about baseball." James is considered to be the pioneer of Sabermetrics, beginning to publish his work in the 1970s. It wasn't until recently - with the publication of Michael Lewis's #1 National Bestseller Moneyball - that Sabermetrics have become more mainstream.Contact HittingWhile almost all sabermetricians agree hitting is more easy to predict than pitching, oddly enough I find hitting stats to be more flawed than pitching stats. This is pitching stats are limited and are more easily influenced by luck; they are more volatile. Hitters have more control over what happens to a ball once it is put in play, but stats that explain exactly what happens aren't readily available. So we do the best we can.Ron Shandler, a genius when it comes to baseball, said that the mark of a true .300 hitter is a Contact R...
By: The RotoFeed
Explanation of Sabermetrics - DIPS Theory
2007-03-06 10:32:02 Since many of you reading this may not know much about Sabermetrics, I've decided to go over some of the basic principles so that you can better trust what we're saying. We'll start with DIPS Theory (Defense Independent Pitching Statistics). We'll look at hitting theories later today.PitchingVoros McCracken is thought of as the pioneer for Sabermetric Pitching Principles. It is now understood in the Sabermetric community that pitchers have little-to-no control over what happens to a ball once it is put in play. Due to this, strikeouts are the best outcome a pitcher can hope for as there is no opportunity for him to get unlucky, as he could get if the ball gets put in play.Walks are another important stat for pitchers as they are also defense independent. Obviously, walks are a negative event for pitchers.Home Runs were once thought of as a defense and luck independent outcome, but now there are some who think they are not luck independent. We agree. Too many conditions, such as ...
By: The RotoFeed
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