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Algorithm Betting

Algorithm Betting
I write algorithms which bet on the Barclays Premier League using sports betting exchanges such as Betfair and WBX. This site follows the progress of the algorithm model in turning 100 real cash into 1million in 5 years betting only on the Barclays
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Articles

Betting results 28 April 08
2008-04-30 18:28:00
No strange results in this week’s games after all; worth noting after all the hype that comes at this time of year. Birmingham nearly caused an upset - but didn’t. Although Fulham did win away at Man City, this result in itself is not too surprising given the recent form of both teams. ...
More About: April , Results , Featured
Betting tips 28 April 08
2008-04-28 21:00:00
I have Derby at odds of 12.88 in the Balanced Fund to win this game which means a back bet at the current odds of 13 on the betting exchanges. Given the value of just 1% this leads to a very small bet and is not going to mean a move to Monte Carlo ...
More About: April , Tips , Featured
Betting tips 27 April 08
2008-04-27 14:30:00
Excellent fun watching the relegation race and the goals go in one by one yesterday. Birmingham were 2-0 up at home to the mighty Reds, whilst Fulham were down 2-0 away at Man City and Bolton up 0-1 away at Spurs. Then it was musical chairs and all change. Fulham somehow stormed ...
More About: April , Tips , Featured
Betting tips 26 April 08
2008-04-26 13:45:00
Quite a lot to think about in today’s games. Aside from the title race potentially being won today there are plenty of matches which have upset written all over them. Theoretically there are 7 teams fighting for the last 2 Premiership places still up for grabs for season 08/09. Each stands a ...
More About: April , Tips
Betting results 20 April 08
2008-04-20 20:19:00
A stellar week of results with all Funds gaining strongly. The Trading Fund performs the best again as it races past 100% growth with a yield of over 8%. The Balanced Fund continues a steady and profitable path with a yield now just shy of 11% and strike rate of 70%. Weekly movement ...
More About: April , Results , Featured
Betting tips 20 April 08
2008-04-20 13:18:00
Caught out by the early start of Villa v Birmingham so no time to comment on the games. Today?s Premier League betting tips are shown at the bottom of this post with matches discussed below. AGGRESSIVE FUND HOME AB Odds Ex Odds Value Stake AWAY AB Odds Ex Odds Value Stake Aston Villa 1.45 1.84 27%  £2.22  Birmingham 5.11 5.40 6%  £-   Man City 1.90 2.58 36%  £2.93  Portsmouth 3.01 3.25 8%  £-   Newcastle 3.05 2.02 -34% -£2.73  Sunderland 1.85 4.60 148%  £-   BALANCED FUND HOME AB Odds Ex Odds Value Stake AWAY AB Odds Ex Odds Value Stake Aston Villa 1.50 1.84 23%  ...
More About: April , Tips , Featured
Betting tips 19 April 08
2008-04-19 13:41:00
It’s getting close to the end of the season now and this often means peculiar results.  Whilst some teams will be trying 110% to avoid relegation or gain a European place, others will be winding down for the summer break.  This can give the lower teams an opportunity to earn points where they never would ...
More About: April , Tips
Betting tips 17 April 08
2008-04-17 20:17:00
Everton v Chelsea. Realistically Chelsea need maximum points from here if they are to stand any chance of catching Man United for the Premier League title. Whilst Everton haven’t lost at home in 2008 and are still chasing a Champions League place, Chelsea should ensure Everton don’t take all 3 points. We lay Everton according ...
More About: April , Tips
Betting results 14 April 08
2008-04-15 18:48:00
Respectable gains this week across the board as all 3 funds turn a profit.  The Balanced Fund continues to impress with low variance in earnings week to week and a yield now standing at 9.49% after 122 bets.  It also managed 9 winning match bets out of 10 in this weeks games. As for the targets, ...
More About: April , Results , Featured
Betting tips 14 April 08
2008-04-14 20:39:00
Final game of this week is Chelsea v Wigan. A foregone conclusion on the face of it. Chelsea v Wigan. This is probably down to how well Wigan can play. Chelsea must win to keep up with Man U so can Wigan really hold out? It’s unlikely but the exchange odds over-price Chelsea ...
More About: April , Tips , Featured
Betting tips 13 April 08
2008-04-13 14:08:00
Good results yesterday. The yield on the Balanced Fund is back above 9% showing the quality of the earnings.  A couple of great games today. I can see Liverpool hitting 3 or more past Blackburn.  Man U could do the same against Arsenal.  Today?s Premier League betting tips are shown at the bottom of ...
More About: April , Tips , Featured
Betting tips 12 April 08
2008-04-12 15:21:00
No large discrepancies between the betting exchange odds and the algorithm’s odds today. The biggest risk is a lay bet of Middlesbrough at Spurs. A risk not only due to the exchange odds of 6 but also because Spurs can be so indifferent at times. Today?s Premier League betting tips are ...
More About: April , Tips , Featured
Team ratings update April 08
2008-04-12 14:23:00
It’s been a while since I discussed the Premier League Team ratings on the blog. With recent changes to the algorithm I thought i’d record the current team points which you can see in the table below. The variance versus the teams’ Premier League position is a measure of how well each team is playing ...
More About: April , Update , Ratings , Featured
Betting results 8 March 08
2008-04-09 23:30:00
All 3 funds managed an increase this week.  Both the Aggressive and Trading Funds showed strong gains and gained more than budget on the target £1million.  The Balanced Fund showed a meagre increase and actually lost ground on the budget and now stands just 11 days ahead of it’s target at this stage.  Weekly movement ...
More About: Results , March , Featured
Betting results 8 April 08
2008-04-09 23:30:00
All 3 funds managed an increase this week. Both the Aggressive and Trading Funds showed strong gains and gained more than budget on the target £1million. The Balanced Fund showed a meagre increase and actually lost ground on the budget and now stands just 11 days ahead of it’s target at this stage. ...
More About: April , Results
Betting tips 8 April 08
2008-04-08 17:01:00
Results so far this week have seen the Trading Fund advance the most.  A win on today’s game will see all Funds positive for the week. West Ham v Portsmouth. Fresh from their win in the F.A. Cup semi-final versus West Brom, Portsmouth still have the possibility of a European place via the league. ...
More About: April , Tips , Featured
Betting tips 6 April 08
2008-04-06 14:08:00
The results from yesterday’s tips split the Funds. Whilst the Trading and Aggressive Funds gained, the Balanced Fund sufferred a small loss. Ideally i’d prefer it the other way around since the Balanced Fund uses the pure algorithm in it’s latest form. Still, it was just a small loss and included 2 ...
More About: April , Tips , Featured
Betting tips 5 April 08
2008-04-05 13:47:00
It’s the first outing of the new algorithm today since the changes made during the week. It’s not as risk averse as I originally thought but the Balanced Fund is still the most risk averse of the 3 funds. As I continue to feed in historic prices from Betfair I will hopefully improve ...
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Betting results 30 March 08
2008-04-01 18:42:00
The Newcastle fight-back against Spurs cost me this weekend. Looks like Kev’ means business after all. The Aggressive Fund stood by it’s name as it lost almost 12% this week, though it did gain 24% for the month of March . This fund is an incarnation of the algorithm which started in September 07. ...
More About: Results , Featured
Betting tips 30 March 08
2008-03-30 14:31:00
Gains yesterday despite my negative expectations. There are 2 big games today which could move the funds by a large percentage up or down. Today?s Premier League betting tips are shown at the bottom of this post with matches discussed below. Chelsea v Middlesbrough. Chelsea still have Man U to play at home ...
More About: Tips , March , Featured
Betting tips 29 March 08
2008-03-29 15:50:00
With no material bets backing favourites to speak of, today could be a very disappointing outcome. Coupled with the usual lay bet against Derby who could see their second win of the season losses could be big. Most of the value in today’s odds are in backing away teams which the funds don’t ...
More About: Tips , March
Betting results 23 March 08
2008-03-23 23:22:00
Another positive week for all 3 funds. The Aggressive Fund made progress in catching it’s target and is now 103 days behind target. The Balanced Fund and Trading Fund are 29 and 86 days ahead of target respectively. The return on staked investment for the Balanced Fund is currently running at 11.2% ...
More About: Results , March , Premier league
Betting tips 23 March 08
2008-03-23 14:12:00
Another profitable Saturday with all funds posting gains. I was most pleased with the Sunderland win as the algorithm saw value in the Black Cat odds. However, there is currently no backing of away teams as results are not consistent enough. Previous incarnations of the algorithm would have likely had Sunderland at wider odds and ...
More About: Tips , March , Premier league
Betting tips 22 March 08
2008-03-22 13:50:00
Further gains were had for all funds from the 2 midweek games. It’s all going rather well right now. If the rest of the season goes as well the Funds will be well on their way to achieving the £1million targets. I’ve been dusting off the Bundesliga algorithm and hope to have this ...
More About: Tips , March , Featured , Premier league
Betting tips 19 March 08
2008-03-19 20:35:00
Couple of the big guns playing tonight. Man U look to extend their lead over Arsenal while Chelsea could move above Arsenal if they can knock enough past Spurs. Apart from Bolton there’s not much value in the market’s odds tonight which is disappointing. All the odds look too short apart from Bolton where ...
More About: Tips , March , Featured , Premier league
Alternative Energy - the next bubble
2008-03-18 12:18:00
Alternative Energy is the next speculative investment bubble waiting to happen. The industry will continue to grow over the next 10 years due to the early stage of technologies within the industry. Future demand and revenues are difficult to forecast making it a perfect candidate for mis-pricing.
More About: Economics , Alternative , Alternative Energy , Bubble
Betting results 17 March 08
2008-03-18 00:12:00
Plenty of games and good results has given all 3 funds a boost this week.  Good to see the Aggressive Fund making ground on target since the overhaul.  For now the Trading and Balanced Funds are well ahead of target but they will need a cushion to make up for the lack of gains over ...
More About: Results , March , Featured , Premier league
Betting tips 17 March 08
2008-03-17 18:45:00
And on to the final game of this week. It’s been a great set of results this week so far with just 2 minor losing games for the algorithm funds. Birmingham v Newcastle. The Blues are just above the drop zone and will see this as an opportunity to pull away from Fulham and Bolton. Meanwhile ...
More About: Tips , March , Premier league
Betting tips 16 March 08
2008-03-16 14:20:00
All 3 funds were up again yesterday. Arsenal couldn’t manage 3 points yet again at home but always seem to be able to muster that late goal. No other surprising results though Man U had to rely on a late enough goal to beat Derby. Perhaps the algorithm odds of a draw ...
More About: Tips , March , Premier league
Betting tips 15 March 08
2008-03-15 15:22:00
First a mention of the midweek games. 3 out of 3 winning bets for all 3 funds. Even though the funds went for a different result on the Villa v Boro game they all came out trumps as the draw suited everyone. That means all 3 funds are in profit. The ...
More About: Tips , March , Premier league
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