Algorithm BettingAlgorithm BettingI write algorithms which bet on the Barclays Premier League using sports betting exchanges such as Betfair and WBX. This site follows the progress of the algorithm model in turning 100 real cash into 1million in 5 years betting only on the Barclays Articles
Betting tips 29 March 08
2008-03-29 15:50:00 With no material bets backing favourites to speak of, today could be a very disappointing outcome. Coupled with the usual lay bet against Derby who could see their second win of the season losses could be big. Most of the value in today’s odds are in backing away teams which the funds don’t ... More About: Tips , March
Betting results 23 March 08
2008-03-23 23:22:00 Another positive week for all 3 funds. The Aggressive Fund made progress in catching it’s target and is now 103 days behind target. The Balanced Fund and Trading Fund are 29 and 86 days ahead of target respectively. The return on staked investment for the Balanced Fund is currently running at 11.2% ... More About: Results , March , Premier league
Betting tips 23 March 08
2008-03-23 14:12:00 Another profitable Saturday with all funds posting gains. I was most pleased with the Sunderland win as the algorithm saw value in the Black Cat odds. However, there is currently no backing of away teams as results are not consistent enough. Previous incarnations of the algorithm would have likely had Sunderland at wider odds and ... More About: Tips , March , Premier league
Betting tips 22 March 08
2008-03-22 13:50:00 Further gains were had for all funds from the 2 midweek games. It’s all going rather well right now. If the rest of the season goes as well the Funds will be well on their way to achieving the £1million targets. I’ve been dusting off the Bundesliga algorithm and hope to have this ... More About: Tips , March , Featured , Premier league
Betting tips 19 March 08
2008-03-19 20:35:00 Couple of the big guns playing tonight. Man U look to extend their lead over Arsenal while Chelsea could move above Arsenal if they can knock enough past Spurs. Apart from Bolton there’s not much value in the market’s odds tonight which is disappointing. All the odds look too short apart from Bolton where ... More About: Tips , March , Featured , Premier league
Alternative Energy - the next bubble
2008-03-18 12:18:00 Alternative Energy is the next speculative investment bubble waiting to happen. The industry will continue to grow over the next 10 years due to the early stage of technologies within the industry. Future demand and revenues are difficult to forecast making it a perfect candidate for mis-pricing. More About: Economics , Alternative , Alternative Energy , Bubble
Betting results 17 March 08
2008-03-18 00:12:00 Plenty of games and good results has given all 3 funds a boost this week. Good to see the Aggressive Fund making ground on target since the overhaul. For now the Trading and Balanced Funds are well ahead of target but they will need a cushion to make up for the lack of gains over ... More About: Results , March , Featured , Premier league
Betting tips 17 March 08
2008-03-17 18:45:00 And on to the final game of this week. It’s been a great set of results this week so far with just 2 minor losing games for the algorithm funds. Birmingham v Newcastle. The Blues are just above the drop zone and will see this as an opportunity to pull away from Fulham and Bolton. Meanwhile ... More About: Tips , March , Premier league
Betting tips 16 March 08
2008-03-16 14:20:00 All 3 funds were up again yesterday. Arsenal couldn’t manage 3 points yet again at home but always seem to be able to muster that late goal. No other surprising results though Man U had to rely on a late enough goal to beat Derby. Perhaps the algorithm odds of a draw ... More About: Tips , March , Premier league
Betting tips 15 March 08
2008-03-15 15:22:00 First a mention of the midweek games. 3 out of 3 winning bets for all 3 funds. Even though the funds went for a different result on the Villa v Boro game they all came out trumps as the draw suited everyone. That means all 3 funds are in profit. The ... More About: Tips , March , Premier league
Betting tips 12 March 08
2008-03-12 20:41:00 More Premier League action. I do like these midweek games to break up the week even with European action. Today?s Premier League betting tips are shown at the bottom of this post with matches discussed below. Aston Villa V Middlesbrough. Boro have come off the boil recently and Villa are holding firm. ... More About: Tips , March , Featured
Fed?s $200bn of liquidity creates financial ?fog of war?
2008-03-12 12:57:00 The Fed’s move yesterday to lend Treasury securities to primary dealers in exchange for mortgage-backed securities as collateral was the latest attempt to prevent the financial crisis deepening. Whilst it has given liquidity to the inter-bank market, it does nothing fundamental to restore wealth. The Fed has simply created a financial “fog of war”; intentional ... More About: Economics , Financial
Betting results 9 March 08
2008-03-10 21:37:00 Whilst the F.A. Cup seemed to spring one surprise after another the Premiership games were more as expected. Arsenal dropped 2 points at Wigan, it was Spurs’ turn to be West Ham 4-0 and Everton duly beat Sunderland. Good progress this week. Whilst not stellar returns the algorithm seems to be working out in ... More About: Results , March , Featured , Premier league
Betting tips 9 March 08
2008-03-09 15:47:00 Yesterday was a good day as all 3 match bets came in for all 3 funds. No surprises in the matches, though it could be argued Fulham did well to get their draw at Blackburn. Another 3 games today due to the magic of the F.A. Cup. How great to see Portsmouth now installed ... More About: Tips , March , Featured
Betting tips 8 March 08
2008-03-08 15:54:00 Success on the Liverpool v West Ham game but only a small profit. That’s the way it’s going to be from now on with these new lower risk funds. At the same time we should see the yield rise. 3 games today due to the F.A. Cup. Pompey have just beaten Man U after Man U had ... More About: Tips , March , Featured
Betting tips 5 March 08
2008-03-05 21:01:00 Today’s game is Liverpool v West Ham. Liverpool v West Ham. Liverpool have 3 games in a week and yet more rumours about ownership. West Ham need look no further than tonight for a better chance to turn over the Reds. Whilst Liverpool’s form has steadied and West Ham took a pasting to Chelsea last week their ... More About: Tips , March , Premier league
Betting results 2 March 08
2008-03-05 20:43:00 A fall back from the gains of the previous week. Whilst the 2 new funds (Balanced and Trading) are up since they started last week the Balanced Fund has fallen behind target. Still, it couldn’t be much earlier in the long slog toward the target £1m in 2013. Birmingham did beat Spurs as expected. Other ... More About: Results , March , Premier league
Betting tips 2 March 08
2008-03-02 14:05:00 Not a great day yesterday as even though most of the results went as expected the odds were not showing value and hence we went against a number of favourites including Chelsea and Man U. Birmingham did as expected and beat a triumphant Spurs. It’ll be interesting to watch Spurs over the rest of the ... More About: Tips , March
Betting tips 1 March 08
2008-03-01 15:53:00 A new month begins and we’re really now on the home straight for the Premier League. It should be one of the most exciting finishes for years as Arsenal, Man U and Chelsea have a real chance of taking the title. Sky Sports must be licking their lips at all that “Premiership action coming your ... More About: Tips , March
FSA sees credit repricing
2008-02-27 12:49:00 Today the FSA will tell banks that the current financial crisis will force them to change the way they do business. Hector Sants (FSA Chief Executive), according to the BBC, has said banks will no longer be able to raise money as cheaply again. Banks themselves need to give consideration to how their business models ... More About: Credit , Featured , Sees
Betting results 25 February 08
2008-02-26 15:13:00 A good week for the betting funds with 7 out of 9 winning bets. The 2 losses were both away wins which can sometimes be costly. However, as the new models are more accomodative of losing bets, both of these losing bets cost the funds less than 2%. The Aggressive Fund is going to have to ... More About: Results , February
Betting tips 25 February 08
2008-02-25 20:07:00 One winning and one losing bet yesterday. Selecting Reading at home to Villa did seem a little optimistic. Congratulations to Spurs winning the Carling Cup over Chelsea. I can’t believe it had to go to extra-time (and there was a lot of it!) with Spurs playing so well and Chelsea so badly. Today?s Premier League betting tips ... More About: Tips , February
Betting tips 24 February 08
2008-02-24 13:23:00 All 6 matches yesterday returned a profit. The Trading Fund earned the most, followed by the Aggressive and then Balance Fund. This is the order you would expect when results go the way of the betting. And conversely the reverse will likely be true when the bets don’t come in. Today?s Premier League betting tips are shown ... More About: Tips , February
Monoline rescue? And what the banks are afraid of.
2008-02-23 16:33:00 News broke late Friday that Ambac, a U.S. financial insurance company, will be rescued with $2bn-$3bn of capital. How this deal will be structured is still very unclear and no doubt being hotly debated this weekend before any deal is possibly announced next week. But why should the banks even be interested in helping the monolines when ... More About: Banks , Rescue
Yield and pricing the unknown
2008-02-17 16:25:00 How useful is yield as a performance measure? There are many variables to measure the success of a betting system. These range from the simple ’strike rate’ showing the percentage of bets won to ‘yield’ which, by incorporating the potential loss on a bet, includes some measure of risk. It goes without saying that the longer a system ... More About: Unknown , Featured
Betting results 11 February 08
2008-02-12 18:11:00 The Fund took a massive hit due to Man Utd’s shocking defeat at the hands of local rivals Man City. I will post something on this later in the week as I incoporate the result and its significance into the algorithm model. The betting Fund now has a loss to date of -7% since the Fund started on 29 September ... More About: Results , Premier league , February
Betting tips 11 February 08
2008-02-11 18:29:00 A big loss on the Man City game as they turned over Man U at Old Trafford. That result has given some very useful information to use in the algorithm model and on first look I am getting some more sensible odds out of the model now. I will post the results later in the ... More About: Tips , February
Betting tips 10 February 08
2008-02-10 14:03:00 A good day yesterday as the Fund reached a new closing day high of £343.94. There were no great surprises in yesterday’s results and it strikes me that there have been no real upsets so far this season. Statistically this doesn’t make an upset more likely for the rest of the season but it will be ... More About: Tips , Featured , February
Betting tips 9 February 08
2008-02-09 13:40:00 Hoping for better luck this week though as usual there are some scary fixtures. The largest stake at risk and therefore potential loss is a Derby win at home to Tottenham. This alone would cost the Fund over a third of it’s current value. Today?s betting tips are shown and discussed below. To view a history ... More About: Tips , February
Betting results 3 February 08
More articles from this author:2008-02-05 19:15:00 A loss this week of 7.42% as 3 teams which the algorithm layed won (Bolton, Wigan and Fulham). Whilst a losing week is never pleasant it’s all within the expected performance of the algorithm over time. However, this has not stopped me revisiting the algorithm model to add futher enhancements and try and squeeze out ... More About: Results , Featured , Premier league , February 1, 2, 3, 4 |
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